Coastal inundation associated with sea-level rise in the Pacific: a review
This literature review was developed for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) to provide background for the project Probabilistic Assessment of Coastal Inundation in the Pacific. Projected sea-level rise greatly differs depending on future emissions scenarios and ice sheet modelling unce...
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| Format: | Text |
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GNS Science
2021
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| Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.21420/jsp7-jv38 https://shop.gns.cri.nz/sr_2021-49-pdf |
| Summary: | This literature review was developed for the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade (MFAT) to provide background for the project Probabilistic Assessment of Coastal Inundation in the Pacific. Projected sea-level rise greatly differs depending on future emissions scenarios and ice sheet modelling uncertainties. When considering the impacts of sea-level rise, it is compounding factors, such as high tides, waves generated from tropical cyclones and storm surges, that pose the most significant threat to low-lying communities. However, consideration of compound events is often neglected in planning for sea-level rise. We take Tarawa, Kiribati, as a case study to examine how sea-level rise will likely impact low-lying atoll island communities and provide an overview of the strategies in place for mitigation and adaptation. Although there is a national strategy to manage future sea-level rise, resources for coastal assessment studies and maintaining and improving of coastal defence infrastructure remains limited. We then review the use of Bayesian network models and suggest some advantages of these models for application to this project (The author) |
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