Forecasting volcanic eruptions on White Island in the next month with Bayesian network modelling : Preliminary results from an expect allocation workshop
This report presents preliminary findings of an expert elicitation workshop to estimate probabilities for a Bayesian Network (BN) model that forecasts volcanic eruptions on White Island. As well as describing the procedures this report includes all original answers as well as the preliminary analysi...
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GNS Science
2017
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Online Access: | https://dx.doi.org/10.21420/g20g9b http://shop.gns.cri.nz/sr_2016-018-pdf/ |