Tropospheric ozone in CMIP6 Simulations ...

• Main Authors: Griffiths, Paul T, Murray, Lee T, Zeng, Guang, Archibald, Alexander T, Emmons, Louisa K, Galbally, Ian, Hassler, Birgit, Horowitz, Larry W, Keeble, James, Liu, Jane, Moeini, Omid, Naik, Vaishali, O'Connor, Fiona M, Shin, Youngsub Matthew, Tarasick, David, Tilmes, Simone, Turnock, Steven T, Wild, Oliver, Young, Paul J, Zanis, Prodromos
• Format: Text
• Language: unknown
• Published: Apollo - University of Cambridge Repository 2020
• Subjects: 13 Climate Action; Arctic
• Online Access: https://dx.doi.org/10.17863/cam.66182; https://www.repository.cam.ac.uk/handle/1810/319066

Abstract. The evolution of tropospheric ozone from 1850 to 2100 has been studied using data from Phase 6 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6). We evaluate long-term changes using coupled atmosphere-ocean chemistry-climate models, focusing on the CMIP historical and ScenarioMIP ssp370 experiments, for which detailed tropospheric ozone diagnostics were archived. The model ensemble has been evaluated against a suite of surface, sonde, and satellite observations of the past several decades, and found to reproduce well the salient spatial, seasonal and decadal variability and trends. The tropospheric ozone burden increases from 244 ± 30 Tg in 1850 to a mean value of 348 ± 15 Tg for the period 2005–2014, an increase of 40 %. Modelled present day values agree well with previous determinations (ACCENT: 336 ± 27 Tg; ACCMIP: 337 ± 23 Tg and TOAR: 340 ± 34 Tg). In the ssp370 experiments, the ozone burden reaches a maximum of 402 ± 36 Tg in 2090, before declining slightly to 396 ± 32 Tg by 2100. The ... : Fiona M. O’Connor and Birgit Hassler were supported by the European Union’s Horizon 2020 Framework Programme for Research and Innovation “Coordinated Research in Earth Systems and Climate: Experiments, kNowledge, Dissemination and Outreach (CRESCENDO)” project under grant agreement no. 641816. Guang Zeng was supported by the NZ Government’s Strategic Science Investment Fund (SSIF) through the NIWA programme CACV. Makoto Deushi and Naga Oshima were supported by the Japan Society for the Promotion of Science KAKENHI (grant numbers: JP18H03363, JP18H05292 and JP20K04070), the Environment Research and Technology Development Fund (JPMEERF20172003, PMEERF20202003 and JPMEERF20205001) of the Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency of Japan, and the Arctic Challenge for Sustainability II (ArCS II), programme grant number PMXD1420318865. We acknowledge the World Climate Research Programme, which, through its Working Group on Coupled Modelling, coordinated and promoted CMIP6. We thank the climate modelling ...