Statistical approaches for understanding and correcting systematic errors in climate model estimates of Antarctic surface climatology. ...

• Main Author: Carter, Jeremy
• Format: Text
• Language: English
• Published: Lancaster University 2024
• Subjects: Antarctic; The Antarctic; Antarc*; Ice Sheet; Ice Shelf
• Online Access: https://dx.doi.org/10.17635/lancaster/thesis/2417; https://www.research.lancs.ac.uk/portal/en/publications/statistical-approaches-for-understanding-and-correcting-systematic-errors-in-climate-model-estimates-of-antarctic-surface-climatology(bcf90d1f-b238-48fd-97b6-f413c34069da).html

The current and future stability of the Antarctic ice sheet under rising global temperatures is critical to understand with wide-ranging implications, such as influencing ocean currents and having a significant contribution to global sea level rise. Sea level rise results in submergence of land as well as more regular and intense flooding, leading to wide-spread displacement of communities and collapse of coastal ecosystems. Climate models provide invaluable, spatiotemporally comprehensive estimates of past, current and future climatology that are integral for predictions of the stability of the Antarctic ice sheet - impact studies utilise the climate model product to predict events such as ice shelf collapse. Confidence in the findings of impact studies are partially limited though due to systematic errors in the climate model output that are difficult to quantify adequately across the ice sheet. The first aim of this thesis is to fill a gap in the literature by providing a thorough examination of ...