Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe
[Aim] Large carnivore populations in Europe are expanding into new areas. This generates opportunities to improve their conservation status, but also creates a need to address new conflicts with humans. Species management units are constrained by administrative boundaries, but effective conservation...
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2018
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/200525 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12796 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100001659 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 |
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ftcsic:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/200525 2024-02-11T10:09:18+01:00 Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe Scharf, Anne K. Fernández, Néstor Junta de Andalucía German Research Foundation 2018-11 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/200525 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12796 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100001659 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 unknown John Wiley & Sons http://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12796 Sí Diversity and Distributions 24(11): 1573-1582 (2018) 1366-9516 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/200525 doi:10.1111/ddi.12796 1472-4642 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 none habitat suitability models human–wildlife conflicts model transferability species recovery transboundary conservation Ursus arctos artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2018 ftcsic https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.1279610.13039/50110000165910.13039/501100011011 2024-01-16T10:48:23Z [Aim] Large carnivore populations in Europe are expanding into new areas. This generates opportunities to improve their conservation status, but also creates a need to address new conflicts with humans. Species management units are constrained by administrative boundaries, but effective conservation and conflict management require a continental-scale perspective on the opportunities and limitations for expanding populations. We assessed the conservation applicability and the uncertainties of transferring and up-scaling local habitat suitability models from multiple populations in support of large-scale, transboundary species conservation. [Location] Europe. [Methods] We evaluated the accuracy of local population models to predict European brown bear (Ursus arctos) distribution patterns in other populations and at the continental scale. We also assessed the benefits of combining predictions from multiple local population models, and we evaluated the limitations of transferring models among populations and environmental settings. Last, we estimated the availability of unoccupied suitable habitats in Europe for colonization by expanding populations. [Results] We found that integrating habitat predictions from multiple populations outperformed predictions from most individual populations. Results showed that about 37% of potentially suitable brown bear habitat in Europe remains unoccupied. As a synthesis of our results, we provide a set of predictive maps for the expansion of brown bears at the continental scale, including predictions from individual habitat models and a multimodel predictive map. [Main conclusions] We show that integrating habitat models from multiple populations provides richer and more reliable information on the distribution of suitable habitats in data deficient areas. This integration yields more reliable predictions compared to those based on individual populations and has important implications to manage species expansions and the associated conflicts. We also identified major ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Ursus arctos Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) Diversity and Distributions 24 11 1573 1582 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) |
op_collection_id |
ftcsic |
language |
unknown |
topic |
habitat suitability models human–wildlife conflicts model transferability species recovery transboundary conservation Ursus arctos |
spellingShingle |
habitat suitability models human–wildlife conflicts model transferability species recovery transboundary conservation Ursus arctos Scharf, Anne K. Fernández, Néstor Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
topic_facet |
habitat suitability models human–wildlife conflicts model transferability species recovery transboundary conservation Ursus arctos |
description |
[Aim] Large carnivore populations in Europe are expanding into new areas. This generates opportunities to improve their conservation status, but also creates a need to address new conflicts with humans. Species management units are constrained by administrative boundaries, but effective conservation and conflict management require a continental-scale perspective on the opportunities and limitations for expanding populations. We assessed the conservation applicability and the uncertainties of transferring and up-scaling local habitat suitability models from multiple populations in support of large-scale, transboundary species conservation. [Location] Europe. [Methods] We evaluated the accuracy of local population models to predict European brown bear (Ursus arctos) distribution patterns in other populations and at the continental scale. We also assessed the benefits of combining predictions from multiple local population models, and we evaluated the limitations of transferring models among populations and environmental settings. Last, we estimated the availability of unoccupied suitable habitats in Europe for colonization by expanding populations. [Results] We found that integrating habitat predictions from multiple populations outperformed predictions from most individual populations. Results showed that about 37% of potentially suitable brown bear habitat in Europe remains unoccupied. As a synthesis of our results, we provide a set of predictive maps for the expansion of brown bears at the continental scale, including predictions from individual habitat models and a multimodel predictive map. [Main conclusions] We show that integrating habitat models from multiple populations provides richer and more reliable information on the distribution of suitable habitats in data deficient areas. This integration yields more reliable predictions compared to those based on individual populations and has important implications to manage species expansions and the associated conflicts. We also identified major ... |
author2 |
Junta de Andalucía German Research Foundation |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Scharf, Anne K. Fernández, Néstor |
author_facet |
Scharf, Anne K. Fernández, Néstor |
author_sort |
Scharf, Anne K. |
title |
Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
title_short |
Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
title_full |
Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
title_fullStr |
Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
title_full_unstemmed |
Up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: Assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in Europe |
title_sort |
up-scaling local-habitat models for large-scale conservation: assessing suitable areas for the brown bear comeback in europe |
publisher |
John Wiley & Sons |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/200525 https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12796 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100001659 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 |
genre |
Ursus arctos |
genre_facet |
Ursus arctos |
op_relation |
http://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.12796 Sí Diversity and Distributions 24(11): 1573-1582 (2018) 1366-9516 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/200525 doi:10.1111/ddi.12796 1472-4642 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100001659 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100011011 |
op_rights |
none |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/ddi.1279610.13039/50110000165910.13039/501100011011 |
container_title |
Diversity and Distributions |
container_volume |
24 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
1573 |
op_container_end_page |
1582 |
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1790609150720344064 |