On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936
In this study, we analyze the linkage between atmosphere and ocean modes and winter flood variability over the 20th century based on long‐term flow‐discharge series, historical archives, and tree‐ring records of past floods in the North Atlantic Basin (NAB). The most extreme winter floods occurred i...
Published in: | Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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John Wiley & Sons
2019
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/187302 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13911 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100004702 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 |
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ftcsic:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/187302 2024-02-11T10:01:46+01:00 On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A. Stoffel, Markus Benito, Gerardo Rohrer, Mario Barriopedro, David García Herrera, Ricardo Beniston, Martin Brönnimann, Stefan Università degli studi di Genova European Commission Fundación Biodiversidad Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) 2019-01 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/187302 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13911 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100004702 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 en eng John Wiley & Sons #PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/607029 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016/CGL2015-69699-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/603557 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13911 Sí Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1436(1): 206-216 (2019) 0077-8923 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/187302 doi:10.1111/nyas.13911 1749-6632 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004702 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 none Flood 1936 North Atlantic Basin AO AMO artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2019 ftcsic https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.1391110.13039/50110000078010.13039/50110000470210.13039/501100003329 2024-01-16T10:41:58Z In this study, we analyze the linkage between atmosphere and ocean modes and winter flood variability over the 20th century based on long‐term flow‐discharge series, historical archives, and tree‐ring records of past floods in the North Atlantic Basin (NAB). The most extreme winter floods occurred in 1936 and had strong impacts on either side of the Atlantic. We hypothesize that the joint effects of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and the Arctic Oscillation (AO), which is closely related to the North Atlantic Oscillation, play a significant role when describing flood variability in North America and Europe since 1900. Statistical modeling supports the assumption that the response of flood anomalies over the NAB to AO phases is subsidiary of SST phases. Besides, we shed light on the extraordinarily winter flood of 1936 that was characterized by very high SSTs over both the Atlantic and Pacific (>98th percentile) and very low, negative values of AO (<1st percentile). This outstanding winter flood episode was most likely characterized by stratospheric polar vortex anomalies, which can usually be linked to an increased probability of storms in western and southwestern Europe and increased snowfall events in eastern North America. By assessing the flood anomalies over the NAB as a coupled AO and SST function, one could further the understanding of such large‐scale events and presumably improve anticipation of future extreme flood occurrences. This study was funded by the Institute for Environmental Sciences (University of Geneva) without any specific grant. S.B. acknowledges support from the FP7 project ERA‐CLIM2. J.A.B.C. thanks Sebastian Guillet, Christophe Corona, and Jaime Madrigal for their comments. G.B. appreciates the support of Fundación Biodiversidad (MITECO) through research project DAM‐ADAPT. D.B. and R.G.‐H. were supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the PALEOSTRAT (CGL2015‐69699‐R) project and the European Project ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) Arctic Pacific Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1436 1 206 216 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) |
op_collection_id |
ftcsic |
language |
English |
topic |
Flood 1936 North Atlantic Basin AO AMO |
spellingShingle |
Flood 1936 North Atlantic Basin AO AMO Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A. Stoffel, Markus Benito, Gerardo Rohrer, Mario Barriopedro, David García Herrera, Ricardo Beniston, Martin Brönnimann, Stefan On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
topic_facet |
Flood 1936 North Atlantic Basin AO AMO |
description |
In this study, we analyze the linkage between atmosphere and ocean modes and winter flood variability over the 20th century based on long‐term flow‐discharge series, historical archives, and tree‐ring records of past floods in the North Atlantic Basin (NAB). The most extreme winter floods occurred in 1936 and had strong impacts on either side of the Atlantic. We hypothesize that the joint effects of sea surface temperatures (SSTs) over the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans and the Arctic Oscillation (AO), which is closely related to the North Atlantic Oscillation, play a significant role when describing flood variability in North America and Europe since 1900. Statistical modeling supports the assumption that the response of flood anomalies over the NAB to AO phases is subsidiary of SST phases. Besides, we shed light on the extraordinarily winter flood of 1936 that was characterized by very high SSTs over both the Atlantic and Pacific (>98th percentile) and very low, negative values of AO (<1st percentile). This outstanding winter flood episode was most likely characterized by stratospheric polar vortex anomalies, which can usually be linked to an increased probability of storms in western and southwestern Europe and increased snowfall events in eastern North America. By assessing the flood anomalies over the NAB as a coupled AO and SST function, one could further the understanding of such large‐scale events and presumably improve anticipation of future extreme flood occurrences. This study was funded by the Institute for Environmental Sciences (University of Geneva) without any specific grant. S.B. acknowledges support from the FP7 project ERA‐CLIM2. J.A.B.C. thanks Sebastian Guillet, Christophe Corona, and Jaime Madrigal for their comments. G.B. appreciates the support of Fundación Biodiversidad (MITECO) through research project DAM‐ADAPT. D.B. and R.G.‐H. were supported by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the PALEOSTRAT (CGL2015‐69699‐R) project and the European Project ... |
author2 |
Università degli studi di Genova European Commission Fundación Biodiversidad Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A. Stoffel, Markus Benito, Gerardo Rohrer, Mario Barriopedro, David García Herrera, Ricardo Beniston, Martin Brönnimann, Stefan |
author_facet |
Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A. Stoffel, Markus Benito, Gerardo Rohrer, Mario Barriopedro, David García Herrera, Ricardo Beniston, Martin Brönnimann, Stefan |
author_sort |
Ballesteros-Cánovas, J. A. |
title |
On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
title_short |
On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
title_full |
On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
title_fullStr |
On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
title_full_unstemmed |
On the extraordinary winter flood episode over the North Atlantic Basin in 1936 |
title_sort |
on the extraordinary winter flood episode over the north atlantic basin in 1936 |
publisher |
John Wiley & Sons |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/187302 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13911 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100004702 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 |
geographic |
Arctic Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Pacific |
genre |
Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
Arctic North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
#PLACEHOLDER_PARENT_METADATA_VALUE# info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/607029 info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/MINECO/Plan Estatal de Investigación Científica y Técnica y de Innovación 2013-2016/CGL2015-69699-R info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/603557 https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.13911 Sí Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences 1436(1): 206-216 (2019) 0077-8923 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/187302 doi:10.1111/nyas.13911 1749-6632 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100000780 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100004702 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 |
op_rights |
none |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1111/nyas.1391110.13039/50110000078010.13039/50110000470210.13039/501100003329 |
container_title |
Annals of the New York Academy of Sciences |
container_volume |
1436 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
206 |
op_container_end_page |
216 |
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1790597563774140416 |