No robust evidence of future changes in major stratospheric sudden warmings: a multi-model assessment from CCMI

• Published in: Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics
• Main Authors: Ayarzagüena, Blanca, Polvani, Lorenzo M., Langematz, Ulrike, Akiyoshi, Hideharu, Bekki, Slimane, Butchart, Neal, Dameris, Martin, Deushi, Makoto, Hardiman, Steven C., Jöckel, Patrick, Klekociuk, Andrew, Marchand, Marion, Michou, Martine, Morgenstern, Olaf, O'Connor, Fiona M., Oman, Luke D., Plummer, David A., Revell, Laura, Rozanov, Eugene, Saint-Martin, David, Scinocca, John, Stenke, Andrea, Stone, Kane, Yamashita, Yousuke, Yoshida, Kohei, Zeng, Guang
• Other Authors: European Commission, Universidad Complutense de Madrid, German Research Foundation, National Science Foundation (US), Ministry of Business, Innovation, and Employment (New Zealand), Royal Marsden NHS Foundation Trust, Deep South National Science Challenge (New Zealand), German Climate Computing Center, Federal Ministry of Education and Research (Germany), Ministry of Environment (Japan), Environmental Restoration and Conservation Agency (Japan)
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: European Geosciences Union 2018
• Subjects: Arctic; O'Connor; polar night
• Online Access: http://hdl.handle.net/10261/185753; https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-18-11277-2018; https://doi.org/10.13039/501100001659; https://doi.org/10.13039/501100004629; https://doi.org/10.13039/100012139; https://doi.org/10.13039/100000001; https://doi.org/10.13039/501100000780; https://doi.org/10.13039/501100002347; https://doi.org/10.13039/501100002911

Major mid-winter stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) are the largest instance of wintertime variability in the Arctic stratosphere. Because SSWs are able to cause significant surface weather anomalies on intra-seasonal timescales, several previous studies have focused on their potential future chan...