Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites
Context: Demographic parameters in wildlife populations are typically estimated by monitoring a limited number of individuals in observable sites and assuming that these are representative of the whole population. If individuals permanently disperse to unobservable breeding sites, recruitment and im...
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2016
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Online Access: | http://hdl.handle.net/10261/152559 https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 |
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ftcsic:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/152559 2024-02-11T10:07:46+01:00 Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites Tavecchia, Giacomo Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Cannell, Belinda 2016-08-22 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/152559 https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 unknown CSIRO Publishing Postprint https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 Sí doi:10.1071/WR15187 issn: 1035-3712 Wildlife Research 43: 411-417 (2016) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/152559 none Breeding-site fidelity Seabirds Multi-event model Merging information Capture–recapture Blue penguin artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2016 ftcsic https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 2024-01-16T10:24:29Z Context: Demographic parameters in wildlife populations are typically estimated by monitoring a limited number of individuals in observable sites and assuming that these are representative of the whole population. If individuals permanently disperse to unobservable breeding sites, recruitment and immature survival are expected to be negatively biased and breeding-site fidelity cannot be investigated. Aims: To develop a method to obtain unbiased estimated of survival, recruitment and breeding dispersal when individuals can move to, or recruit in, unobservable sites. Methods: We used the flexibility of multi-event capture–recapture models to estimate dispersal and recruitment to unobservable sites, merging observations made at two sites within the same breeding locations. We illustrated the model with data on little penguin (Eudyptula minor) breeding in artificial as well as in natural nests. Natural nests are unknown or inaccessible and birds in these sites remain unobservable. Encounters at beaches surrounding the colony suggested that marked animals can permanently move to unobservable nests. We built the multi-event model considering two possible states of the individuals (alive breeding in a nest box and alive in a natural nest) and three types of observations (encountered at a nest only, encountered at the beach only and encountered at both places). This model ensured that the breeding dispersal to unobservable places became estimable. Key results: Results indicate that the estimated survival was 8% higher than when recaptures at artificial nests were analysed alone. Also, fidelity to artificial nests was 12% lower than to natural nests. This might reflect the greater availability of natural sites or, alternatively, a heterogeneity between these two types of nest. Conclusions: We obtained an estimate of local survival of little penguins breeding at Penguin Island that incorporates the permanent migration to unobservable sites and found an asymmetric dispersion towards natural nests. Implication: Our ... Article in Journal/Newspaper Penguin Island Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) Penguin Island ENVELOPE(-57.926,-57.926,-62.102,-62.102) Wildlife Research 43 5 411 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) |
op_collection_id |
ftcsic |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Breeding-site fidelity Seabirds Multi-event model Merging information Capture–recapture Blue penguin |
spellingShingle |
Breeding-site fidelity Seabirds Multi-event model Merging information Capture–recapture Blue penguin Tavecchia, Giacomo Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Cannell, Belinda Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
topic_facet |
Breeding-site fidelity Seabirds Multi-event model Merging information Capture–recapture Blue penguin |
description |
Context: Demographic parameters in wildlife populations are typically estimated by monitoring a limited number of individuals in observable sites and assuming that these are representative of the whole population. If individuals permanently disperse to unobservable breeding sites, recruitment and immature survival are expected to be negatively biased and breeding-site fidelity cannot be investigated. Aims: To develop a method to obtain unbiased estimated of survival, recruitment and breeding dispersal when individuals can move to, or recruit in, unobservable sites. Methods: We used the flexibility of multi-event capture–recapture models to estimate dispersal and recruitment to unobservable sites, merging observations made at two sites within the same breeding locations. We illustrated the model with data on little penguin (Eudyptula minor) breeding in artificial as well as in natural nests. Natural nests are unknown or inaccessible and birds in these sites remain unobservable. Encounters at beaches surrounding the colony suggested that marked animals can permanently move to unobservable nests. We built the multi-event model considering two possible states of the individuals (alive breeding in a nest box and alive in a natural nest) and three types of observations (encountered at a nest only, encountered at the beach only and encountered at both places). This model ensured that the breeding dispersal to unobservable places became estimable. Key results: Results indicate that the estimated survival was 8% higher than when recaptures at artificial nests were analysed alone. Also, fidelity to artificial nests was 12% lower than to natural nests. This might reflect the greater availability of natural sites or, alternatively, a heterogeneity between these two types of nest. Conclusions: We obtained an estimate of local survival of little penguins breeding at Penguin Island that incorporates the permanent migration to unobservable sites and found an asymmetric dispersion towards natural nests. Implication: Our ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Tavecchia, Giacomo Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Cannell, Belinda |
author_facet |
Tavecchia, Giacomo Sanz-Aguilar, Ana Cannell, Belinda |
author_sort |
Tavecchia, Giacomo |
title |
Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
title_short |
Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
title_full |
Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
title_fullStr |
Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
title_sort |
modelling survival and breeding dispersal to unobservable nest sites |
publisher |
CSIRO Publishing |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/152559 https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-57.926,-57.926,-62.102,-62.102) |
geographic |
Penguin Island |
geographic_facet |
Penguin Island |
genre |
Penguin Island |
genre_facet |
Penguin Island |
op_relation |
Postprint https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 Sí doi:10.1071/WR15187 issn: 1035-3712 Wildlife Research 43: 411-417 (2016) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/152559 |
op_rights |
none |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1071/WR15187 |
container_title |
Wildlife Research |
container_volume |
43 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
411 |
_version_ |
1790606473391243264 |