Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability
Received: 01 July 2015, Accepted: 08 October 2015, Published online: 09 November 2015 Millennial- and multi-centennial scale climate variability during the Holocene has been well documented, but its impact on the distribution and timing of extreme river floods has yet to be established. Here we pres...
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ftcsic:oai:digital.csic.es:10261/125624 2024-02-11T10:06:30+01:00 Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability Benito, Gerardo Macklin, Mark G. Panin, Andrei Rossato, Sandro Fontana, Alessandro Jones, Anna F. Machado, María José Matlakhova, Ekaterina Mozzi, Paolo Zielhofer, Christoph Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) 2015-11-09 http://hdl.handle.net/10261/125624 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep16398 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 en eng Nature Publishing Group Publisher's version http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep16398 Sí Scientific Reports 5: 16398 (2015) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/125624 doi:10.1038/srep16398 2045-2322 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 26549043 open artículo http://purl.org/coar/resource_type/c_6501 2015 ftcsic https://doi.org/10.1038/srep1639810.13039/501100003329 2024-01-16T10:12:10Z Received: 01 July 2015, Accepted: 08 October 2015, Published online: 09 November 2015 Millennial- and multi-centennial scale climate variability during the Holocene has been well documented, but its impact on the distribution and timing of extreme river floods has yet to be established. Here we present a meta-analysis of more than 2000 radiometrically dated flood units to reconstruct centennial-scale Holocene flood episodes in Europe and North Africa. Our data analysis shows a general increase in flood frequency after 5000 cal. yr BP consistent with a weakening in zonal circulation over the second half of the Holocene, and with an increase in winter insolation. Multi-centennial length phases of flooding in UK and central Europe correspond with periods of minimum solar irradiance, with a clear trend of increasing flood frequency over the last 1000 years. Western Mediterranean regions show synchrony of flood episodes associated with negative phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation that are out-of-phase with those evident within the eastern Mediterranean. This long-term flood record reveals complex but geographically highly interconnected climate-flood relationships, and provides a new framework to understand likely future spatial changes of flood frequency. GB was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the research projects CLARIES (CGL2011–29176), and PALEOMED (CGL2014–58127-C3-1-R). Peer reviewed Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Digital.CSIC (Spanish National Research Council) Scientific Reports 5 1 |
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Received: 01 July 2015, Accepted: 08 October 2015, Published online: 09 November 2015 Millennial- and multi-centennial scale climate variability during the Holocene has been well documented, but its impact on the distribution and timing of extreme river floods has yet to be established. Here we present a meta-analysis of more than 2000 radiometrically dated flood units to reconstruct centennial-scale Holocene flood episodes in Europe and North Africa. Our data analysis shows a general increase in flood frequency after 5000 cal. yr BP consistent with a weakening in zonal circulation over the second half of the Holocene, and with an increase in winter insolation. Multi-centennial length phases of flooding in UK and central Europe correspond with periods of minimum solar irradiance, with a clear trend of increasing flood frequency over the last 1000 years. Western Mediterranean regions show synchrony of flood episodes associated with negative phases of the North Atlantic Oscillation that are out-of-phase with those evident within the eastern Mediterranean. This long-term flood record reveals complex but geographically highly interconnected climate-flood relationships, and provides a new framework to understand likely future spatial changes of flood frequency. GB was funded by the Spanish Ministry of Economy and Competitiveness through the research projects CLARIES (CGL2011–29176), and PALEOMED (CGL2014–58127-C3-1-R). Peer reviewed |
author2 |
Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad (España) |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Benito, Gerardo Macklin, Mark G. Panin, Andrei Rossato, Sandro Fontana, Alessandro Jones, Anna F. Machado, María José Matlakhova, Ekaterina Mozzi, Paolo Zielhofer, Christoph |
spellingShingle |
Benito, Gerardo Macklin, Mark G. Panin, Andrei Rossato, Sandro Fontana, Alessandro Jones, Anna F. Machado, María José Matlakhova, Ekaterina Mozzi, Paolo Zielhofer, Christoph Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
author_facet |
Benito, Gerardo Macklin, Mark G. Panin, Andrei Rossato, Sandro Fontana, Alessandro Jones, Anna F. Machado, María José Matlakhova, Ekaterina Mozzi, Paolo Zielhofer, Christoph |
author_sort |
Benito, Gerardo |
title |
Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
title_short |
Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
title_full |
Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
title_fullStr |
Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
title_full_unstemmed |
Recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term Holocene climatic variability |
title_sort |
recurring flood distribution patterns related to short-term holocene climatic variability |
publisher |
Nature Publishing Group |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/10261/125624 https://doi.org/10.1038/srep16398 https://doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
Publisher's version http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/srep16398 Sí Scientific Reports 5: 16398 (2015) http://hdl.handle.net/10261/125624 doi:10.1038/srep16398 2045-2322 http://dx.doi.org/10.13039/501100003329 26549043 |
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open |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/srep1639810.13039/501100003329 |
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Scientific Reports |
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5 |
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1 |
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1790604262067142656 |