The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat
Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, has retreated and accelerated through the 21st century, raising concerns that it could be a significant contributor to future sea-level rise. We use a data-constrained ensemble of three-dimensional higher-order ice sheet model simulations to estimate the likely...
Published in: | The Cryosphere |
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/4679/2022/ |
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:tc101096 2023-05-15T16:21:17+02:00 The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat Hillebrand, Trevor R. Hoffman, Matthew J. Perego, Mauro Price, Stephen F. Howat, Ian M. 2022-11-11 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/4679/2022/ eng eng doi:10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/4679/2022/ eISSN: 1994-0424 Text 2022 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 2022-11-14T17:22:41Z Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, has retreated and accelerated through the 21st century, raising concerns that it could be a significant contributor to future sea-level rise. We use a data-constrained ensemble of three-dimensional higher-order ice sheet model simulations to estimate the likely range of sea-level rise from the continued retreat of Humboldt Glacier. We first solve for basal traction using observed ice thickness, bed topography, and ice surface velocity from the year 2007 in a PDE-constrained (partial differential equation) optimization. Next, we impose calving rates to match mean observed retreat rates from winter 2007–2008 to winter 2017–2018 in a transient calibration of the exponent in the power-law basal friction relationship. We find that power-law exponents in the range of <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M1" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">7</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="29d80a96c1e485b2ea8e9894bab6fe24"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00001.svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" src="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg> – <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">5</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="215b47dca0c01018ce05fbe844dd5ae6"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00002.svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" src="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00002.png"/></svg:svg> – rather than the commonly ... Text glacier Greenland Humboldt Glacier Ice Sheet Copernicus Publications: E-Journals Greenland The Cryosphere 16 11 4679 4700 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
op_collection_id |
ftcopernicus |
language |
English |
description |
Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, has retreated and accelerated through the 21st century, raising concerns that it could be a significant contributor to future sea-level rise. We use a data-constrained ensemble of three-dimensional higher-order ice sheet model simulations to estimate the likely range of sea-level rise from the continued retreat of Humboldt Glacier. We first solve for basal traction using observed ice thickness, bed topography, and ice surface velocity from the year 2007 in a PDE-constrained (partial differential equation) optimization. Next, we impose calving rates to match mean observed retreat rates from winter 2007–2008 to winter 2017–2018 in a transient calibration of the exponent in the power-law basal friction relationship. We find that power-law exponents in the range of <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M1" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">7</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="29d80a96c1e485b2ea8e9894bab6fe24"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00001.svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" src="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00001.png"/></svg:svg> – <math xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1998/Math/MathML" id="M2" display="inline" overflow="scroll" dspmath="mathml"><mrow><mn mathvariant="normal">1</mn><mo>/</mo><mn mathvariant="normal">5</mn></mrow></math> <svg:svg xmlns:svg="http://www.w3.org/2000/svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" class="svg-formula" dspmath="mathimg" md5hash="215b47dca0c01018ce05fbe844dd5ae6"><svg:image xmlns:xlink="http://www.w3.org/1999/xlink" xlink:href="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00002.svg" width="20pt" height="14pt" src="tc-16-4679-2022-ie00002.png"/></svg:svg> – rather than the commonly ... |
format |
Text |
author |
Hillebrand, Trevor R. Hoffman, Matthew J. Perego, Mauro Price, Stephen F. Howat, Ian M. |
spellingShingle |
Hillebrand, Trevor R. Hoffman, Matthew J. Perego, Mauro Price, Stephen F. Howat, Ian M. The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
author_facet |
Hillebrand, Trevor R. Hoffman, Matthew J. Perego, Mauro Price, Stephen F. Howat, Ian M. |
author_sort |
Hillebrand, Trevor R. |
title |
The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
title_short |
The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
title_full |
The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
title_fullStr |
The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
title_full_unstemmed |
The contribution of Humboldt Glacier, northern Greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
title_sort |
contribution of humboldt glacier, northern greenland, to sea-level rise through 2100 constrained by recent observations of speedup and retreat |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/4679/2022/ |
geographic |
Greenland |
geographic_facet |
Greenland |
genre |
glacier Greenland Humboldt Glacier Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
glacier Greenland Humboldt Glacier Ice Sheet |
op_source |
eISSN: 1994-0424 |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 https://tc.copernicus.org/articles/16/4679/2022/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4679-2022 |
container_title |
The Cryosphere |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
11 |
container_start_page |
4679 |
op_container_end_page |
4700 |
_version_ |
1766009290027433984 |