Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century
The objective of the present study is application of the land surface model SWAP to project climate change impact on northern Russian river runoff up to 2100 using meteorological projections from the atmosphere–ocean global climate model INMCM4.0. The study was performed for the Northern Dvina River...
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:piahs29501 2023-05-15T16:02:56+02:00 Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century Nasonova, O. N. Gusev, Y. M. Volodin, E. M. Kovalev, E. E. 2018-01-15 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/371/59/2015/ eng eng doi:10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/371/59/2015/ eISSN: 2199-899X Text 2018 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 2020-07-20T16:24:34Z The objective of the present study is application of the land surface model SWAP to project climate change impact on northern Russian river runoff up to 2100 using meteorological projections from the atmosphere–ocean global climate model INMCM4.0. The study was performed for the Northern Dvina River and the Kolyma River characterized by different climatic conditions. The ability of both models to reproduce the observed river runoff was investigated. To apply SWAP for hydrological projections, the robustness of the model was evaluated. The river runoff projections up to 2100 were calculated for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios: RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 prepared for the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). For each scenario, several runoff projections were obtained using different models (INMCM4.0 and SWAP) and different post-processing techniques for correcting biases in meteorological forcing data. Differences among the runoff projections obtained for the same emission scenario and the same period illustrate uncertainties resulted from application of different models and bias-correcting techniques. Text dvina kolyma river Copernicus Publications: E-Journals Kolyma ENVELOPE(161.000,161.000,69.500,69.500) Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences 371 59 64 |
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Open Polar |
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Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
op_collection_id |
ftcopernicus |
language |
English |
description |
The objective of the present study is application of the land surface model SWAP to project climate change impact on northern Russian river runoff up to 2100 using meteorological projections from the atmosphere–ocean global climate model INMCM4.0. The study was performed for the Northern Dvina River and the Kolyma River characterized by different climatic conditions. The ability of both models to reproduce the observed river runoff was investigated. To apply SWAP for hydrological projections, the robustness of the model was evaluated. The river runoff projections up to 2100 were calculated for two greenhouse gas emission scenarios: RCP8.5 and RCP4.5 prepared for the phase five of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5). For each scenario, several runoff projections were obtained using different models (INMCM4.0 and SWAP) and different post-processing techniques for correcting biases in meteorological forcing data. Differences among the runoff projections obtained for the same emission scenario and the same period illustrate uncertainties resulted from application of different models and bias-correcting techniques. |
format |
Text |
author |
Nasonova, O. N. Gusev, Y. M. Volodin, E. M. Kovalev, E. E. |
spellingShingle |
Nasonova, O. N. Gusev, Y. M. Volodin, E. M. Kovalev, E. E. Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
author_facet |
Nasonova, O. N. Gusev, Y. M. Volodin, E. M. Kovalev, E. E. |
author_sort |
Nasonova, O. N. |
title |
Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
title_short |
Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
title_full |
Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
title_fullStr |
Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
title_full_unstemmed |
Ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern Russian river runoff during the 21st century |
title_sort |
ability of a land surface model to predict climate induced changes in northern russian river runoff during the 21st century |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/371/59/2015/ |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(161.000,161.000,69.500,69.500) |
geographic |
Kolyma |
geographic_facet |
Kolyma |
genre |
dvina kolyma river |
genre_facet |
dvina kolyma river |
op_source |
eISSN: 2199-899X |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 https://piahs.copernicus.org/articles/371/59/2015/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-371-59-2015 |
container_title |
Proceedings of the International Association of Hydrological Sciences |
container_volume |
371 |
container_start_page |
59 |
op_container_end_page |
64 |
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1766398607828713472 |