Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming
An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generali...
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:os53809 2023-05-15T17:32:25+02:00 Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming Brunnabend, S.-E. Dijkstra, H. A. Kliphuis, M. A. Bal, H. E. Seinstra, F. Werkhoven, B. Maassen, J. Meersbergen, M. 2018-10-18 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://os.copernicus.org/articles/13/47/2017/ eng eng doi:10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://os.copernicus.org/articles/13/47/2017/ eISSN: 1812-0792 Text 2018 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 2020-07-20T16:23:52Z An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generalized extreme value theory. This model is forced with atmospheric fluxes from a coupled climate model which has been integrated under the IPCC-SRES-A1B scenario over the period 2000–2100. Changes in 10-year return time DSL extremes are very inhomogeneous over the globe and are related to changes in ocean currents and corresponding regional shifts in ocean eddy pathways. In this scenario, several regions in the North Atlantic experience an increase in mean DSL of up to 0.4 m over the period 2000–2100. DSL extremes with a 10-year return time increase up to 0.2 m with largest values in the northern and eastern Atlantic. Text North Atlantic Copernicus Publications: E-Journals Ocean Science 13 1 47 60 |
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Open Polar |
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Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
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ftcopernicus |
language |
English |
description |
An important contribution to future changes in regional sea level extremes is due to the changes in intrinsic ocean variability, in particular ocean eddies. Here, we study a scenario of future dynamic sea level (DSL) extremes using a high-resolution version of the Parallel Ocean Program and generalized extreme value theory. This model is forced with atmospheric fluxes from a coupled climate model which has been integrated under the IPCC-SRES-A1B scenario over the period 2000–2100. Changes in 10-year return time DSL extremes are very inhomogeneous over the globe and are related to changes in ocean currents and corresponding regional shifts in ocean eddy pathways. In this scenario, several regions in the North Atlantic experience an increase in mean DSL of up to 0.4 m over the period 2000–2100. DSL extremes with a 10-year return time increase up to 0.2 m with largest values in the northern and eastern Atlantic. |
format |
Text |
author |
Brunnabend, S.-E. Dijkstra, H. A. Kliphuis, M. A. Bal, H. E. Seinstra, F. Werkhoven, B. Maassen, J. Meersbergen, M. |
spellingShingle |
Brunnabend, S.-E. Dijkstra, H. A. Kliphuis, M. A. Bal, H. E. Seinstra, F. Werkhoven, B. Maassen, J. Meersbergen, M. Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
author_facet |
Brunnabend, S.-E. Dijkstra, H. A. Kliphuis, M. A. Bal, H. E. Seinstra, F. Werkhoven, B. Maassen, J. Meersbergen, M. |
author_sort |
Brunnabend, S.-E. |
title |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_short |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_full |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_fullStr |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_full_unstemmed |
Changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
title_sort |
changes in extreme regional sea level under global warming |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://os.copernicus.org/articles/13/47/2017/ |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
eISSN: 1812-0792 |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/os-13-47-2017 https://os.copernicus.org/articles/13/47/2017/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/os-13-47-2017 |
container_title |
Ocean Science |
container_volume |
13 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
47 |
op_container_end_page |
60 |
_version_ |
1766130532682301440 |