Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective
In the field of climate-change research a lot of effort is devoted to the ‘narrowing down’ of uncertainties in the estimation of Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the global mean warming as a result of an instantaneous doubling of the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere. The present study expl...
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:esdd98099 2023-05-15T16:37:28+02:00 Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective Passenier, Peter O. 2021-11-25 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78 https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2021-78/ eng eng doi:10.5194/esd-2021-78 https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2021-78/ eISSN: 2190-4987 Text 2021 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78 2021-11-29T17:22:29Z In the field of climate-change research a lot of effort is devoted to the ‘narrowing down’ of uncertainties in the estimation of Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the global mean warming as a result of an instantaneous doubling of the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere. The present study explores possible consequences of this narrowing down of ECS for the long-term Earth system sensitivity (ESS), taking into account ‘slow’ feedbacks due to the cryosphere response (permafrost melting and ice-sheet disintegration) to a warming world. Implications for international policy making, aiming at avoiding 2 degrees Celsius of global warming, are briefly discussed. Text Ice Ice Sheet permafrost Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
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Open Polar |
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Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
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ftcopernicus |
language |
English |
description |
In the field of climate-change research a lot of effort is devoted to the ‘narrowing down’ of uncertainties in the estimation of Equilibrium climate sensitivity (ECS), the global mean warming as a result of an instantaneous doubling of the CO 2 concentration in the atmosphere. The present study explores possible consequences of this narrowing down of ECS for the long-term Earth system sensitivity (ESS), taking into account ‘slow’ feedbacks due to the cryosphere response (permafrost melting and ice-sheet disintegration) to a warming world. Implications for international policy making, aiming at avoiding 2 degrees Celsius of global warming, are briefly discussed. |
format |
Text |
author |
Passenier, Peter O. |
spellingShingle |
Passenier, Peter O. Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
author_facet |
Passenier, Peter O. |
author_sort |
Passenier, Peter O. |
title |
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
title_short |
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
title_full |
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
title_fullStr |
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
title_full_unstemmed |
Earth System Sensitivity: a Feedback perspective |
title_sort |
earth system sensitivity: a feedback perspective |
publishDate |
2021 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78 https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2021-78/ |
genre |
Ice Ice Sheet permafrost |
genre_facet |
Ice Ice Sheet permafrost |
op_source |
eISSN: 2190-4987 |
op_relation |
doi:10.5194/esd-2021-78 https://esd.copernicus.org/preprints/esd-2021-78/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-2021-78 |
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1766027769683116032 |