Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science
As climate scientists seek to deliver actionable science for adaptation planning, there are risks in using novel results to inform decision-making. Premature acceptance can lead to maladaptation, confusion, and practitioner “whiplash”. We propose that scientific claims should be...
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:egusphere118345 2024-06-23T07:47:05+00:00 Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science Lipscomb, William H. Behar, David Morrison, Monica Ainhorn 2024-03-12 application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-534/ eng eng doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-534/ eISSN: Text 2024 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 2024-06-13T01:23:50Z As climate scientists seek to deliver actionable science for adaptation planning, there are risks in using novel results to inform decision-making. Premature acceptance can lead to maladaptation, confusion, and practitioner “whiplash”. We propose that scientific claims should be considered actionable only after meeting a confidence threshold based on the strength of evidence as evaluated by a diverse group of scientific experts. We discuss an influential study that projected rapid sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet retreat but in our view was not actionable. We recommend regular, transparent communications between scientists and practitioners to support the use of actionable science. Text Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet Copernicus Publications: E-Journals Antarctic |
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Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
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English |
description |
As climate scientists seek to deliver actionable science for adaptation planning, there are risks in using novel results to inform decision-making. Premature acceptance can lead to maladaptation, confusion, and practitioner “whiplash”. We propose that scientific claims should be considered actionable only after meeting a confidence threshold based on the strength of evidence as evaluated by a diverse group of scientific experts. We discuss an influential study that projected rapid sea-level rise from Antarctic ice-sheet retreat but in our view was not actionable. We recommend regular, transparent communications between scientists and practitioners to support the use of actionable science. |
format |
Text |
author |
Lipscomb, William H. Behar, David Morrison, Monica Ainhorn |
spellingShingle |
Lipscomb, William H. Behar, David Morrison, Monica Ainhorn Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
author_facet |
Lipscomb, William H. Behar, David Morrison, Monica Ainhorn |
author_sort |
Lipscomb, William H. |
title |
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
title_short |
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
title_full |
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
title_fullStr |
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
title_full_unstemmed |
Brief communication: Sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
title_sort |
brief communication: sea-level projections, adaptation planning, and actionable science |
publishDate |
2024 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-534/ |
geographic |
Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Ice Sheet |
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eISSN: |
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doi:10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2024/egusphere-2024-534/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-534 |
_version_ |
1802650719430377472 |