A Statistical Model of Atlantic Hurricane Intensity Forecast Certainty

In recent decades, the skill of hurricane forecasts have improved dramatically, thanks to the continuing progress of NWP models. In the past 30 years, track forecast errors have decreased by about 67 %, but intensity forecasts have only recently begun to improve. The difficulty of forecasting rapid...

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Author: Urquhart, Zander Taylor
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2022
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2022-343
https://egusphere.copernicus.org/preprints/2022/egusphere-2022-343/