Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models
Despite a large number of studies, out of all drivers of radiative forcing, the effect of aerosols has the largest uncertainty in global climate model radiative forcing estimates. There have been studies of aerosol optical properties in climate models, but the effects of particle number size distrib...
Published in: | Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
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Language: | English |
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2022
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12873/2022/ |
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ftcopernicus:oai:publications.copernicus.org:acp102150 2023-05-15T15:14:38+02:00 Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models Leinonen, Ville Kokkola, Harri Yli-Juuti, Taina Mielonen, Tero Kühn, Thomas Nieminen, Tuomo Heikkinen, Simo Miinalainen, Tuuli Bergman, Tommi Carslaw, Ken Decesari, Stefano Fiebig, Markus Hussein, Tareq Kivekäs, Niku Krejci, Radovan Kulmala, Markku Leskinen, Ari Massling, Andreas Mihalopoulos, Nikos Mulcahy, Jane P. Noe, Steffen M. Noije, Twan O'Connor, Fiona M. O'Dowd, Colin Olivie, Dirk Pernov, Jakob B. Petäjä, Tuukka Seland, Øyvind Schulz, Michael Scott, Catherine E. Skov, Henrik Swietlicki, Erik Tuch, Thomas Wiedensohler, Alfred Virtanen, Annele Mikkonen, Santtu 2022-10-06 info:eu-repo/semantics/application/pdf https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12873/2022/ eng eng info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/262254 doi:10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12873/2022/ info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess eISSN: 1680-7324 info:eu-repo/semantics/Text 2022 ftcopernicus https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 2022-10-10T16:22:41Z Despite a large number of studies, out of all drivers of radiative forcing, the effect of aerosols has the largest uncertainty in global climate model radiative forcing estimates. There have been studies of aerosol optical properties in climate models, but the effects of particle number size distribution need a more thorough inspection. We investigated the trends and seasonality of particle number concentrations in nucleation, Aitken, and accumulation modes at 21 measurement sites in Europe and the Arctic. For 13 of those sites, with longer measurement time series, we compared the field observations with the results from five climate models, namely EC-Earth3, ECHAM-M7, ECHAM-SALSA, NorESM1.2, and UKESM1. This is the first extensive comparison of detailed aerosol size distribution trends between in situ observations from Europe and five earth system models (ESMs). We found that the trends of particle number concentrations were mostly consistent and decreasing in both measurements and models. However, for many sites, climate models showed weaker decreasing trends than the measurements. Seasonal variability in measured number concentrations, quantified by the ratio between maximum and minimum monthly number concentration, was typically stronger at northern measurement sites compared to other locations. Models had large differences in their seasonal representation, and they can be roughly divided into two categories: for EC-Earth and NorESM, the seasonal cycle was relatively similar for all sites, and for other models the pattern of seasonality varied between northern and southern sites. In addition, the variability in concentrations across sites varied between models, some having relatively similar concentrations for all sites, whereas others showed clear differences in concentrations between remote and urban sites. To conclude, although all of the model simulations had identical input data to describe anthropogenic mass emissions, trends in differently sized particles vary among the models due to assumptions in ... Other/Unknown Material Arctic Copernicus Publications: E-Journals Aitken ENVELOPE(-44.516,-44.516,-60.733,-60.733) Arctic Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics 22 19 12873 12905 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Copernicus Publications: E-Journals |
op_collection_id |
ftcopernicus |
language |
English |
description |
Despite a large number of studies, out of all drivers of radiative forcing, the effect of aerosols has the largest uncertainty in global climate model radiative forcing estimates. There have been studies of aerosol optical properties in climate models, but the effects of particle number size distribution need a more thorough inspection. We investigated the trends and seasonality of particle number concentrations in nucleation, Aitken, and accumulation modes at 21 measurement sites in Europe and the Arctic. For 13 of those sites, with longer measurement time series, we compared the field observations with the results from five climate models, namely EC-Earth3, ECHAM-M7, ECHAM-SALSA, NorESM1.2, and UKESM1. This is the first extensive comparison of detailed aerosol size distribution trends between in situ observations from Europe and five earth system models (ESMs). We found that the trends of particle number concentrations were mostly consistent and decreasing in both measurements and models. However, for many sites, climate models showed weaker decreasing trends than the measurements. Seasonal variability in measured number concentrations, quantified by the ratio between maximum and minimum monthly number concentration, was typically stronger at northern measurement sites compared to other locations. Models had large differences in their seasonal representation, and they can be roughly divided into two categories: for EC-Earth and NorESM, the seasonal cycle was relatively similar for all sites, and for other models the pattern of seasonality varied between northern and southern sites. In addition, the variability in concentrations across sites varied between models, some having relatively similar concentrations for all sites, whereas others showed clear differences in concentrations between remote and urban sites. To conclude, although all of the model simulations had identical input data to describe anthropogenic mass emissions, trends in differently sized particles vary among the models due to assumptions in ... |
format |
Other/Unknown Material |
author |
Leinonen, Ville Kokkola, Harri Yli-Juuti, Taina Mielonen, Tero Kühn, Thomas Nieminen, Tuomo Heikkinen, Simo Miinalainen, Tuuli Bergman, Tommi Carslaw, Ken Decesari, Stefano Fiebig, Markus Hussein, Tareq Kivekäs, Niku Krejci, Radovan Kulmala, Markku Leskinen, Ari Massling, Andreas Mihalopoulos, Nikos Mulcahy, Jane P. Noe, Steffen M. Noije, Twan O'Connor, Fiona M. O'Dowd, Colin Olivie, Dirk Pernov, Jakob B. Petäjä, Tuukka Seland, Øyvind Schulz, Michael Scott, Catherine E. Skov, Henrik Swietlicki, Erik Tuch, Thomas Wiedensohler, Alfred Virtanen, Annele Mikkonen, Santtu |
spellingShingle |
Leinonen, Ville Kokkola, Harri Yli-Juuti, Taina Mielonen, Tero Kühn, Thomas Nieminen, Tuomo Heikkinen, Simo Miinalainen, Tuuli Bergman, Tommi Carslaw, Ken Decesari, Stefano Fiebig, Markus Hussein, Tareq Kivekäs, Niku Krejci, Radovan Kulmala, Markku Leskinen, Ari Massling, Andreas Mihalopoulos, Nikos Mulcahy, Jane P. Noe, Steffen M. Noije, Twan O'Connor, Fiona M. O'Dowd, Colin Olivie, Dirk Pernov, Jakob B. Petäjä, Tuukka Seland, Øyvind Schulz, Michael Scott, Catherine E. Skov, Henrik Swietlicki, Erik Tuch, Thomas Wiedensohler, Alfred Virtanen, Annele Mikkonen, Santtu Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
author_facet |
Leinonen, Ville Kokkola, Harri Yli-Juuti, Taina Mielonen, Tero Kühn, Thomas Nieminen, Tuomo Heikkinen, Simo Miinalainen, Tuuli Bergman, Tommi Carslaw, Ken Decesari, Stefano Fiebig, Markus Hussein, Tareq Kivekäs, Niku Krejci, Radovan Kulmala, Markku Leskinen, Ari Massling, Andreas Mihalopoulos, Nikos Mulcahy, Jane P. Noe, Steffen M. Noije, Twan O'Connor, Fiona M. O'Dowd, Colin Olivie, Dirk Pernov, Jakob B. Petäjä, Tuukka Seland, Øyvind Schulz, Michael Scott, Catherine E. Skov, Henrik Swietlicki, Erik Tuch, Thomas Wiedensohler, Alfred Virtanen, Annele Mikkonen, Santtu |
author_sort |
Leinonen, Ville |
title |
Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
title_short |
Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
title_full |
Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
title_fullStr |
Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
title_full_unstemmed |
Comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
title_sort |
comparison of particle number size distribution trends in ground measurements and climate models |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12873/2022/ |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-44.516,-44.516,-60.733,-60.733) |
geographic |
Aitken Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Aitken Arctic |
genre |
Arctic |
genre_facet |
Arctic |
op_source |
eISSN: 1680-7324 |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/grantAgreement/EC/FP7/262254 doi:10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 https://acp.copernicus.org/articles/22/12873/2022/ |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.5194/acp-22-12873-2022 |
container_title |
Atmospheric Chemistry and Physics |
container_volume |
22 |
container_issue |
19 |
container_start_page |
12873 |
op_container_end_page |
12905 |
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1766345058013937664 |