Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect
Despite of the economic importance of the olive fly (Bactrocera oleae) and the large amount of biological and ecological studies on the insect, the factors driving its population dynamics (i.e., population persistence and regulation) had not been analytically investigated until the present study. Sp...
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ftconicet:oai:ri.conicet.gov.ar:11336/12710 2023-10-09T21:53:59+02:00 Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect Ordano, Mariano Andrés Engelhard, Izhar Rempoulakis, Polychronis Nemny Lavy, Esther Blum, Moshe Yasin, Sami Lensky, Itamar M. Papadopoulos, Nikos T. Nestel, David application/pdf http://hdl.handle.net/11336/12710 eng eng Public Library Of Science info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4444365/ http://hdl.handle.net/11336/12710 Ordano, Mariano Andrés; Engelhard, Izhar; Rempoulakis, Polychronis; Nemny Lavy, Esther; Blum, Moshe; et al.; Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect; Public Library Of Science; Plos One; 10; 5; 5-2015; 1-18; e0127798 1932-6203 info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ Population ecology Population dynamics Agroecology Integrated Pest Management Climate effects https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4 info:eu-repo/semantics/article info:ar-repo/semantics/artículo info:eu-repo/semantics/publishedVersion ftconicet https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 2023-09-24T19:00:54Z Despite of the economic importance of the olive fly (Bactrocera oleae) and the large amount of biological and ecological studies on the insect, the factors driving its population dynamics (i.e., population persistence and regulation) had not been analytically investigated until the present study. Specifically, our study investigated the autoregressive process of the olive fly populations, and the joint role of intrinsic and extrinsic factors molding the population dynamics of the insect. Accounting for endogenous dynamics and the influences of exogenous factors such as olive grove temperature, the North Atlantic Oscillation and the presence of potential host fruit, we modeled olive fly populations in five locations in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Our models indicate that the rate of population change is mainly shaped by first and higher order non-monotonic, endogenous dynamics (i.e., density-dependent population feedback). The olive grove temperature was the main exogenous driver, while the North Atlantic Oscillation and fruit availability acted as significant exogenous factors in one of the five populations. Seasonal influences were also relevant for three of the populations. In spite of exogenous effects, the rate of population change was fairly stable along time. We propose that a special reproductive mechanism, such as reproductive quiescence, allows populations of monophagous fruit flies such as the olive fly to remain stable. Further, we discuss how weather factors could impinge constraints on the population dynamics at the local level. Particularly, local temperature dynamics could provide forecasting cues for management guidelines. Jointly, our results advocate for establishing monitoring programs and for a major focus of research on the relationship between life history traits and populations dynamics. Fil: Ordano, Mariano Andrés. Fundación Miguel Lillo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científico y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán. Unidad Ejecutora Lillo; Argentina ... Article in Journal/Newspaper North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation CONICET Digital (Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas) Argentina Tucumán ENVELOPE(-63.200,-63.200,-64.683,-64.683) PLOS ONE 10 5 e0127798 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
CONICET Digital (Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científicas y Técnicas) |
op_collection_id |
ftconicet |
language |
English |
topic |
Population ecology Population dynamics Agroecology Integrated Pest Management Climate effects https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4 |
spellingShingle |
Population ecology Population dynamics Agroecology Integrated Pest Management Climate effects https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4 Ordano, Mariano Andrés Engelhard, Izhar Rempoulakis, Polychronis Nemny Lavy, Esther Blum, Moshe Yasin, Sami Lensky, Itamar M. Papadopoulos, Nikos T. Nestel, David Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
topic_facet |
Population ecology Population dynamics Agroecology Integrated Pest Management Climate effects https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1.6 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/1 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4.5 https://purl.org/becyt/ford/4 |
description |
Despite of the economic importance of the olive fly (Bactrocera oleae) and the large amount of biological and ecological studies on the insect, the factors driving its population dynamics (i.e., population persistence and regulation) had not been analytically investigated until the present study. Specifically, our study investigated the autoregressive process of the olive fly populations, and the joint role of intrinsic and extrinsic factors molding the population dynamics of the insect. Accounting for endogenous dynamics and the influences of exogenous factors such as olive grove temperature, the North Atlantic Oscillation and the presence of potential host fruit, we modeled olive fly populations in five locations in the Eastern Mediterranean region. Our models indicate that the rate of population change is mainly shaped by first and higher order non-monotonic, endogenous dynamics (i.e., density-dependent population feedback). The olive grove temperature was the main exogenous driver, while the North Atlantic Oscillation and fruit availability acted as significant exogenous factors in one of the five populations. Seasonal influences were also relevant for three of the populations. In spite of exogenous effects, the rate of population change was fairly stable along time. We propose that a special reproductive mechanism, such as reproductive quiescence, allows populations of monophagous fruit flies such as the olive fly to remain stable. Further, we discuss how weather factors could impinge constraints on the population dynamics at the local level. Particularly, local temperature dynamics could provide forecasting cues for management guidelines. Jointly, our results advocate for establishing monitoring programs and for a major focus of research on the relationship between life history traits and populations dynamics. Fil: Ordano, Mariano Andrés. Fundación Miguel Lillo; Argentina. Consejo Nacional de Investigaciones Científico y Técnicas. Centro Científico Tecnológico Tucumán. Unidad Ejecutora Lillo; Argentina ... |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Ordano, Mariano Andrés Engelhard, Izhar Rempoulakis, Polychronis Nemny Lavy, Esther Blum, Moshe Yasin, Sami Lensky, Itamar M. Papadopoulos, Nikos T. Nestel, David |
author_facet |
Ordano, Mariano Andrés Engelhard, Izhar Rempoulakis, Polychronis Nemny Lavy, Esther Blum, Moshe Yasin, Sami Lensky, Itamar M. Papadopoulos, Nikos T. Nestel, David |
author_sort |
Ordano, Mariano Andrés |
title |
Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
title_short |
Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
title_full |
Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
title_fullStr |
Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
title_full_unstemmed |
Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect |
title_sort |
olive fruit fly (bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the eastern mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a monophagous frugivorous insect |
publisher |
Public Library Of Science |
url |
http://hdl.handle.net/11336/12710 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(-63.200,-63.200,-64.683,-64.683) |
geographic |
Argentina Tucumán |
geographic_facet |
Argentina Tucumán |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/http://journals.plos.org/plosone/article?id=10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/url/https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC4444365/ http://hdl.handle.net/11336/12710 Ordano, Mariano Andrés; Engelhard, Izhar; Rempoulakis, Polychronis; Nemny Lavy, Esther; Blum, Moshe; et al.; Olive fruit fly (Bactrocera oleae) population dynamics in the Eastern Mediterranean: influence of exogenous uncertainty on a Monophagous Frugivorous insect; Public Library Of Science; Plos One; 10; 5; 5-2015; 1-18; e0127798 1932-6203 |
op_rights |
info:eu-repo/semantics/openAccess https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/2.5/ar/ |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0127798 |
container_title |
PLOS ONE |
container_volume |
10 |
container_issue |
5 |
container_start_page |
e0127798 |
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1779317375629262848 |