Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete...
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American Association for the Advancement of Science
2015
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Online Access: | https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 |
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ftcolumbiauniv:oai:academiccommons.columbia.edu:10.7916/D82R3RH6 2023-05-15T16:11:55+02:00 Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith R. Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Čufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Björn Günther, Björn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Köse, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomáš Levanič, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas M. Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Ionel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi Trotsiuk, Volodymyr Trouet, Valerie Walder, Felix Ważny, Tomasz Wilson, Rob Zang, Christian 2015 https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 English eng American Association for the Advancement of Science https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 Pluvial periods Droughts Dendroclimatology Climatic changes Meteorology Articles 2015 ftcolumbiauniv https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 2019-04-04T08:14:09Z Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the “Old World Drought Atlas” (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability. Article in Journal/Newspaper Fennoscandia Columbia University: Academic Commons |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Columbia University: Academic Commons |
op_collection_id |
ftcolumbiauniv |
language |
English |
topic |
Pluvial periods Droughts Dendroclimatology Climatic changes Meteorology |
spellingShingle |
Pluvial periods Droughts Dendroclimatology Climatic changes Meteorology Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith R. Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Čufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Björn Günther, Björn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Köse, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomáš Levanič, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas M. Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Ionel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi Trotsiuk, Volodymyr Trouet, Valerie Walder, Felix Ważny, Tomasz Wilson, Rob Zang, Christian Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
topic_facet |
Pluvial periods Droughts Dendroclimatology Climatic changes Meteorology |
description |
Climate model projections suggest widespread drying in the Mediterranean Basin and wetting in Fennoscandia in the coming decades largely as a consequence of greenhouse gas forcing of climate. To place these and other “Old World” climate projections into historical perspective based on more complete estimates of natural hydroclimatic variability, we have developed the “Old World Drought Atlas” (OWDA), a set of year-to-year maps of tree-ring reconstructed summer wetness and dryness over Europe and the Mediterranean Basin during the Common Era. The OWDA matches historical accounts of severe drought and wetness with a spatial completeness not previously available. In addition, megadroughts reconstructed over north-central Europe in the 11th and mid-15th centuries reinforce other evidence from North America and Asia that droughts were more severe, extensive, and prolonged over Northern Hemisphere land areas before the 20th century, with an inadequate understanding of their causes. The OWDA provides new data to determine the causes of Old World drought and wetness and attribute past climate variability to forced and/or internal variability. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith R. Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Čufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Björn Günther, Björn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Köse, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomáš Levanič, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas M. Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Ionel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi Trotsiuk, Volodymyr Trouet, Valerie Walder, Felix Ważny, Tomasz Wilson, Rob Zang, Christian |
author_facet |
Cook, Edward R. Seager, Richard Kushnir, Yochanan Briffa, Keith R. Büntgen, Ulf Frank, David Krusic, Paul J. Tegel, Willy van der Schrier, Gerard Andreu Hayles, Laia Baillie, Mike Baittinger, Claudia Bleicher, Niels Bonde, Niels Brown, David Carrer, Marco Cooper, Richard Čufar, Katarina Dittmar, Christoph Esper, Jan Griggs, Carol Gunnarson, Björn Günther, Björn Gutierrez, Emilia Haneca, Kristof Helama, Samuli Herzig, Franz Heussner, Karl-Uwe Hofmann, Jutta Janda, Pavel Kontic, Raymond Köse, Nesibe Kyncl, Tomáš Levanič, Tom Linderholm, Hans Manning, Sturt Melvin, Thomas M. Miles, Daniel Neuwirth, Burkhard Nicolussi, Kurt Nola, Paola Panayotov, Momchil Popa, Ionel Rothe, Andreas Seftigen, Kristina Seim, Andrea Svarva, Helene Svoboda, Miroslav Thun, Terje Timonen, Mauri Touchan, Ramzi Trotsiuk, Volodymyr Trouet, Valerie Walder, Felix Ważny, Tomasz Wilson, Rob Zang, Christian |
author_sort |
Cook, Edward R. |
title |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_short |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_full |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_fullStr |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_full_unstemmed |
Old World megadroughts and pluvials during the Common Era |
title_sort |
old world megadroughts and pluvials during the common era |
publisher |
American Association for the Advancement of Science |
publishDate |
2015 |
url |
https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 |
genre |
Fennoscandia |
genre_facet |
Fennoscandia |
op_relation |
https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.7916/D82R3RH6 |
_version_ |
1765997134822244352 |