Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications
Abstract: Social scientists have developed numerous theoretical and empirical models of crime. However, dynamic regional microsimulation models to forecast crime or to simulate the effect of social welfare, labour, and law enforcement policies are not currently available. This paper outlines a propo...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.694.7715 2023-05-15T17:04:14+02:00 Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications Terance J. Rephann Marianne Öhman The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 1999 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.694.7715 http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.694.7715 http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf Microsimulation forecasting crime regional variation Sweden text 1999 ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T18:34:56Z Abstract: Social scientists have developed numerous theoretical and empirical models of crime. However, dynamic regional microsimulation models to forecast crime or to simulate the effect of social welfare, labour, and law enforcement policies are not currently available. This paper outlines a proposal for developing a special crime module which would be linked to an existing dynamic spatial microsimulation model called SVERIGE (System for Visualising Economic and Regional Influences Governing the Environment). It describes how a unique geographically descriptive micro database called TOPSWING (Total Population of Sweden, Individual and Geographical database) housed at the Spatial Modelling Centre in Kiruna, Sweden, might be used to generate input data for developing estimates of individual propensities to commit imprisonable offences. It also describes how equations in such a module might be specified and how they could be linked with other economic and demographic variables in the microsimulation model. The paper concludes by suggesting issues and policies that could be investigated using microsimulation methods. Microsimulation was introduced over forty years ago (Orcutt 1957) and has experienced Text Kiruna Unknown Kiruna |
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Microsimulation forecasting crime regional variation Sweden |
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Microsimulation forecasting crime regional variation Sweden Terance J. Rephann Marianne Öhman Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
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Microsimulation forecasting crime regional variation Sweden |
description |
Abstract: Social scientists have developed numerous theoretical and empirical models of crime. However, dynamic regional microsimulation models to forecast crime or to simulate the effect of social welfare, labour, and law enforcement policies are not currently available. This paper outlines a proposal for developing a special crime module which would be linked to an existing dynamic spatial microsimulation model called SVERIGE (System for Visualising Economic and Regional Influences Governing the Environment). It describes how a unique geographically descriptive micro database called TOPSWING (Total Population of Sweden, Individual and Geographical database) housed at the Spatial Modelling Centre in Kiruna, Sweden, might be used to generate input data for developing estimates of individual propensities to commit imprisonable offences. It also describes how equations in such a module might be specified and how they could be linked with other economic and demographic variables in the microsimulation model. The paper concludes by suggesting issues and policies that could be investigated using microsimulation methods. Microsimulation was introduced over forty years ago (Orcutt 1957) and has experienced |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Terance J. Rephann Marianne Öhman |
author_facet |
Terance J. Rephann Marianne Öhman |
author_sort |
Terance J. Rephann |
title |
Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
title_short |
Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
title_full |
Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
title_fullStr |
Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
title_full_unstemmed |
Building a Microsimulation Model for Crime in Sweden: Issues and Applications |
title_sort |
building a microsimulation model for crime in sweden: issues and applications |
publishDate |
1999 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.694.7715 http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf |
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Kiruna |
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Kiruna |
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Kiruna |
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Kiruna |
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http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.694.7715 http://www.equotient.net/papers/crimemic.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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