2001: The relationship between the wintertime North Atlantic Oscillation and blocking episodes in the North Atlantic

A systematic examination of the dynamical relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and atmospheric blocking episodes in the North Atlantic during winter is undertaken. Employing the blocking criteria, as defined by Tibaldi and Molteni (1990), we first establish a statistical relatio...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Amir Shabbar, Jianping Huang, Kaz Higuchi
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.666.9510
http://hjp.lzu.edu.cn/publications/pdf/fulltext.pdf
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Summary:A systematic examination of the dynamical relationship between the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) and atmospheric blocking episodes in the North Atlantic during winter is undertaken. Employing the blocking criteria, as defined by Tibaldi and Molteni (1990), we first establish a statistical relationship, through compositing and linear regression analysis, between the two phenomena. The results show that the frequency of blocking formations in the North Atlantic region is sensitive to the phase of the NAO. Sixty-seven percent more winter blocking days are observed during the negative than the positive phase of the NAO. The lifetime of blocking episodes is also sensitive to the phase of the NAO. When the NAO is in the negative phase, the distribution of the length of blocking varies considerably. The average length of blocking during the negative phase is about 11 days, which is nearly twice as long as the 6-day length observed during the positive phase of the NAO. The NAO accounts for about 30 % of the variation in the wintertime North Atlantic blocking episodes. We propose a conceptual model that strengthens the statistical association and offers an explanation for a dynamical connection between the occurrences of blocking and the NAO in the North Atlantic. Application of a low-order theoretical model by Charney and DeVore (1979) and an analysis of Northern Hemisphere observed surface temperature suggest that the NAO-related difference in blocking frequency and persistence are associated with