1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE
Using Detection and Attribution (D&A) analysis1, Gillett et al. (2008)2 claim that “polar warming ” is due to human activity, by comparing the five-year surface temperature averages in the Arctic and the Antarctic (OBS) to the results of ensembles of Global Climate Models (GCMs). We find their a...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.641.455 2023-05-15T13:56:15+02:00 1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE Luigi Mariani Simone G. Parisi Gabriele Cola Paolo Mezzasalma Morabito Teodoro Georgiadis The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.641.455 http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.641.455 http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T15:58:51Z Using Detection and Attribution (D&A) analysis1, Gillett et al. (2008)2 claim that “polar warming ” is due to human activity, by comparing the five-year surface temperature averages in the Arctic and the Antarctic (OBS) to the results of ensembles of Global Climate Models (GCMs). We find their arguments insufficient. Using Detection and Attribution (D&A) analysis1, Gillett et al. (2008)2 claim that “polar warming ” is due to human activity, by comparing the five-year surface temperature averages in the Arctic and the Antarctic (OBS) to the results of ensembles of Global 2Climate Models (GCMs). We find their arguments insufficient, even assuming Gillett’s underlying hypotheses as true: that relatively-sparse OBS data are representative of the Polar regions; and that the means calculated over five-year periods give a realistic picture of climate variability. For the Arctic area, we compare the robustness of Gillett et al.’s results, to what can be obtained from dynamic climatology3. Considering the main Arctic climatic determinants, known good proxies are the North Pacific Index (NPI8) for the Polar Text Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Unknown Antarctic Arctic Pacific The Antarctic |
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English |
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Using Detection and Attribution (D&A) analysis1, Gillett et al. (2008)2 claim that “polar warming ” is due to human activity, by comparing the five-year surface temperature averages in the Arctic and the Antarctic (OBS) to the results of ensembles of Global Climate Models (GCMs). We find their arguments insufficient. Using Detection and Attribution (D&A) analysis1, Gillett et al. (2008)2 claim that “polar warming ” is due to human activity, by comparing the five-year surface temperature averages in the Arctic and the Antarctic (OBS) to the results of ensembles of Global 2Climate Models (GCMs). We find their arguments insufficient, even assuming Gillett’s underlying hypotheses as true: that relatively-sparse OBS data are representative of the Polar regions; and that the means calculated over five-year periods give a realistic picture of climate variability. For the Arctic area, we compare the robustness of Gillett et al.’s results, to what can be obtained from dynamic climatology3. Considering the main Arctic climatic determinants, known good proxies are the North Pacific Index (NPI8) for the Polar |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Luigi Mariani Simone G. Parisi Gabriele Cola Paolo Mezzasalma Morabito Teodoro Georgiadis |
spellingShingle |
Luigi Mariani Simone G. Parisi Gabriele Cola Paolo Mezzasalma Morabito Teodoro Georgiadis 1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
author_facet |
Luigi Mariani Simone G. Parisi Gabriele Cola Paolo Mezzasalma Morabito Teodoro Georgiadis |
author_sort |
Luigi Mariani |
title |
1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
title_short |
1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
title_full |
1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
title_fullStr |
1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
title_full_unstemmed |
1POLAR WARMING ATTRIBUTION STILL PREMATURE |
title_sort |
1polar warming attribution still premature |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.641.455 http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf |
geographic |
Antarctic Arctic Pacific The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Arctic Pacific The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic |
op_source |
http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.641.455 http://www.climatemonitor.it/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/Mariani_et_al.Gillett_et_al.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766263621701074944 |