Abstract The aim of this work is to assess potential future Antarctic surface mass balance changes, the underlying mechanisms, and the impact of these changes on global sea level. To this end, this paper presents simulations of the Antarctic climate for the end of the twentieth and twenty-first cent...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.631.4239 2023-05-15T13:32:12+02:00 The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.631.4239 http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.631.4239 http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T15:30:04Z Abstract The aim of this work is to assess potential future Antarctic surface mass balance changes, the underlying mechanisms, and the impact of these changes on global sea level. To this end, this paper presents simulations of the Antarctic climate for the end of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. The simulations were carried out with a stretched-grid atmospheric general circulation model, allowing for high horizontal resolution (60 km) over Antarctica. It is found that the simulated present-day surface mass balance is skilful on continental scales. Errors on re-gional scales are moderate when observed sea surface conditions are used; more significant regional biases appear when sea surface conditions from a coupled model run are prescribed. The simulated Antarctic surface mass balance increases by 32 mm water equivalent per year in the next century, corresponding to a sea level decrease of 1.2 mm year–1 by the end of the twenty-first century. This surface mass balance in-crease is largely due to precipitation changes, while changes in snow melt and turbulent latent surface fluxes are weak. The temperature increase leads to an increased moisture transport towards the interior of the continent because of the higher moisture holding capacity of warmer air, but changes in atmospheric dynamics, in particular off the Antarctic coast, regionally modulate this signal. 1 Text Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica Unknown Antarctic The Antarctic |
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Abstract The aim of this work is to assess potential future Antarctic surface mass balance changes, the underlying mechanisms, and the impact of these changes on global sea level. To this end, this paper presents simulations of the Antarctic climate for the end of the twentieth and twenty-first centuries. The simulations were carried out with a stretched-grid atmospheric general circulation model, allowing for high horizontal resolution (60 km) over Antarctica. It is found that the simulated present-day surface mass balance is skilful on continental scales. Errors on re-gional scales are moderate when observed sea surface conditions are used; more significant regional biases appear when sea surface conditions from a coupled model run are prescribed. The simulated Antarctic surface mass balance increases by 32 mm water equivalent per year in the next century, corresponding to a sea level decrease of 1.2 mm year–1 by the end of the twenty-first century. This surface mass balance in-crease is largely due to precipitation changes, while changes in snow melt and turbulent latent surface fluxes are weak. The temperature increase leads to an increased moisture transport towards the interior of the continent because of the higher moisture holding capacity of warmer air, but changes in atmospheric dynamics, in particular off the Antarctic coast, regionally modulate this signal. 1 |
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The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
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Text |
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http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.631.4239 http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf |
geographic |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic The Antarctic |
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Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
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Antarc* Antarctic Antarctica |
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http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.631.4239 http://www.lmd.jussieu.fr/~jldufres/publi/2006/Krinner.Magand.ea-cdyn-2006.pdf |
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1766025070903296000 |