Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST
The influence of sea surface temperature on the locations of the genesis and of landfall of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic is analyzed. For that purpose, these locations are calculated from HURDAT and split into two disjoint subsets according to whether sea surface temperature in the North...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.593.2916 2023-05-15T17:28:21+02:00 Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST Jonas Rumpf Helga Weindl Eberhard Faust Volker Schmidt The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2009 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.593.2916 http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.593.2916 http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf text 2009 ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T13:37:24Z The influence of sea surface temperature on the locations of the genesis and of landfall of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic is analyzed. For that purpose, these locations are calculated from HURDAT and split into two disjoint subsets according to whether sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic was above or below average in the year the corresponding storms occurred. Landfalls are investigated separately for the groups of cyclones categorized as tropical storms, minor hurricanes, or major hurricanes at the moment of landfall. The locations are considered realizations of inhomogeneous Poisson point processes, and the corresponding density functions are estimated with kernel estimation methods. In this way, any spatial structure inherent in the data is taken into account. These density functions are then compared with Monte Carlo methods from spatial statistics, which allows the detection of areas of statistically significant differences in the two sets with high and low SST, respectively. Results show many such areas, which is of relevance for the insurance industry and mathematical modelling of cyclones, as well as for decision support during the preparation for natural disasters. 1 Text North Atlantic Unknown |
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English |
description |
The influence of sea surface temperature on the locations of the genesis and of landfall of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic is analyzed. For that purpose, these locations are calculated from HURDAT and split into two disjoint subsets according to whether sea surface temperature in the North Atlantic was above or below average in the year the corresponding storms occurred. Landfalls are investigated separately for the groups of cyclones categorized as tropical storms, minor hurricanes, or major hurricanes at the moment of landfall. The locations are considered realizations of inhomogeneous Poisson point processes, and the corresponding density functions are estimated with kernel estimation methods. In this way, any spatial structure inherent in the data is taken into account. These density functions are then compared with Monte Carlo methods from spatial statistics, which allows the detection of areas of statistically significant differences in the two sets with high and low SST, respectively. Results show many such areas, which is of relevance for the insurance industry and mathematical modelling of cyclones, as well as for decision support during the preparation for natural disasters. 1 |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Jonas Rumpf Helga Weindl Eberhard Faust Volker Schmidt |
spellingShingle |
Jonas Rumpf Helga Weindl Eberhard Faust Volker Schmidt Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
author_facet |
Jonas Rumpf Helga Weindl Eberhard Faust Volker Schmidt |
author_sort |
Jonas Rumpf |
title |
Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
title_short |
Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
title_full |
Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
title_fullStr |
Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
title_full_unstemmed |
Structural Variation in Genesis and Landfall Locations of North Atlantic Tropical Cyclones Related to SST |
title_sort |
structural variation in genesis and landfall locations of north atlantic tropical cyclones related to sst |
publishDate |
2009 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.593.2916 http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.593.2916 http://www.mathematik.uni-ulm.de/stochastik/personal/schmidt/publications/tellus.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
_version_ |
1766120985045499904 |