2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes
forming south of 23.5N and of Atlantic major hurricanes increased between the 1970’s/1980’s and 1995–2000. These increases are coincident with a multi-decadal warming in North Atlantic SST suggesting that the high activity of 1995–2000 may persist for the next 10 to 40 years. However, during 1950–20...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.567.3892 2023-05-15T17:29:08+02:00 2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes Robert L. Molinari Alberto M. Mestas-nuñez The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.567.3892 http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.567.3892 http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics Tropical text ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T12:19:27Z forming south of 23.5N and of Atlantic major hurricanes increased between the 1970’s/1980’s and 1995–2000. These increases are coincident with a multi-decadal warming in North Atlantic SST suggesting that the high activity of 1995–2000 may persist for the next 10 to 40 years. However, during 1950–2000 strong decadal oscillations are superimposed on the multi-decadal changes in both SST and tropical storms (positive SST anomalies, increased storm activity). We appear to be entering a negative phase of the decadal SST signal implying that tropical storm, and most likely major hurricane, activity may be reduced in the next several years rather than remain at the very high 1995–2000 level when both signals were in their positive phase. Tropical storm activity during 2001 and 2002 is less than the expected only from the multi-decadal signal but for 2002 the main Text North Atlantic Unknown |
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Open Polar |
collection |
Unknown |
op_collection_id |
ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
topic |
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics Tropical |
spellingShingle |
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics Tropical Robert L. Molinari Alberto M. Mestas-nuñez 2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
topic_facet |
Meteorology and Atmospheric Dynamics Tropical |
description |
forming south of 23.5N and of Atlantic major hurricanes increased between the 1970’s/1980’s and 1995–2000. These increases are coincident with a multi-decadal warming in North Atlantic SST suggesting that the high activity of 1995–2000 may persist for the next 10 to 40 years. However, during 1950–2000 strong decadal oscillations are superimposed on the multi-decadal changes in both SST and tropical storms (positive SST anomalies, increased storm activity). We appear to be entering a negative phase of the decadal SST signal implying that tropical storm, and most likely major hurricane, activity may be reduced in the next several years rather than remain at the very high 1995–2000 level when both signals were in their positive phase. Tropical storm activity during 2001 and 2002 is less than the expected only from the multi-decadal signal but for 2002 the main |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Robert L. Molinari Alberto M. Mestas-nuñez |
author_facet |
Robert L. Molinari Alberto M. Mestas-nuñez |
author_sort |
Robert L. Molinari |
title |
2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
title_short |
2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
title_full |
2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
title_fullStr |
2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
title_full_unstemmed |
2003: North Atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
title_sort |
2003: north atlantic decadal variability and the formation of tropical storms and hurricanes |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.567.3892 http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.567.3892 http://www.columbia.edu/itc/journalism/cases/katrina/Academic Journals/Geophysical Research Letters/Molinari GRL 03.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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