Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase
We assess the role of changing natural (volcanic, aerosol, insolation) and anthropogenic (CO2 emissions, land cover) forcings on the global climate system over the last 150 years using an earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2. We apply several datasets of historical land-use recon...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.565.7823 2023-05-15T16:39:22+02:00 Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.565.7823 http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.565.7823 http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf atmosphere interaction earth system modelling historical land cover changes interactive carbon text ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T12:15:23Z We assess the role of changing natural (volcanic, aerosol, insolation) and anthropogenic (CO2 emissions, land cover) forcings on the global climate system over the last 150 years using an earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2. We apply several datasets of historical land-use reconstructions: the cropland dataset by Ramankutty & Foley (1999) (R&F), the HYDE land cover dataset of Klein Goldewijk (2001), and the land-use emissions data from Houghton & Hackler (2002). Comparison between the simulated and observed temporal evolution of atmospheric CO2 and d 13CO2 are used to evaluate these datasets. To check model uncertainty, CLIMBER-2 was coupled to the more complex Lund–Potsdam–Jena (LPJ) dynamic global vegetation model. In simulation with R&F dataset, biogeophysical mechanisms due to land cover changes tend to decrease global air temperature by 0.26 1C, while biogeochemical mechanisms act to warm the climate by 0.18 1C. The net effect on climate is negligible on a global scale, but pronounced over the land in the temperate and high northern latitudes where a cooling due to an increase in land surface albedo offsets the warming due to land-use CO2 emissions. Land cover changes led to estimated increases in atmospheric CO2 of between 22 and 43ppmv. Over the entire period 1800–2000, simulated d13CO2 with HYDE compares most favourably with ice core during 1850–1950 and Cape Grim data, indicating preference of earlier land clearance in HYDE over R&F. In relative terms, land cover forcing corresponds to 25–49 % of the observed growth in atmospheric CO2. This contribution declined from 36–60 % during 1850–1960 to 4–35 % during 1960–2000. CLIMBER-2-LPJ simulates the land cover contribution to atmospheric CO2 growth to decrease from 68% during 1900–1960 to 12 % in the 1980s. Overall, our simulations show a decline in the relative role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase during the last 150 years. Text ice core Unknown Grim ENVELOPE(-64.486,-64.486,-65.379,-65.379) |
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ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
topic |
atmosphere interaction earth system modelling historical land cover changes interactive carbon |
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atmosphere interaction earth system modelling historical land cover changes interactive carbon Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
topic_facet |
atmosphere interaction earth system modelling historical land cover changes interactive carbon |
description |
We assess the role of changing natural (volcanic, aerosol, insolation) and anthropogenic (CO2 emissions, land cover) forcings on the global climate system over the last 150 years using an earth system model of intermediate complexity, CLIMBER-2. We apply several datasets of historical land-use reconstructions: the cropland dataset by Ramankutty & Foley (1999) (R&F), the HYDE land cover dataset of Klein Goldewijk (2001), and the land-use emissions data from Houghton & Hackler (2002). Comparison between the simulated and observed temporal evolution of atmospheric CO2 and d 13CO2 are used to evaluate these datasets. To check model uncertainty, CLIMBER-2 was coupled to the more complex Lund–Potsdam–Jena (LPJ) dynamic global vegetation model. In simulation with R&F dataset, biogeophysical mechanisms due to land cover changes tend to decrease global air temperature by 0.26 1C, while biogeochemical mechanisms act to warm the climate by 0.18 1C. The net effect on climate is negligible on a global scale, but pronounced over the land in the temperate and high northern latitudes where a cooling due to an increase in land surface albedo offsets the warming due to land-use CO2 emissions. Land cover changes led to estimated increases in atmospheric CO2 of between 22 and 43ppmv. Over the entire period 1800–2000, simulated d13CO2 with HYDE compares most favourably with ice core during 1850–1950 and Cape Grim data, indicating preference of earlier land clearance in HYDE over R&F. In relative terms, land cover forcing corresponds to 25–49 % of the observed growth in atmospheric CO2. This contribution declined from 36–60 % during 1850–1960 to 4–35 % during 1960–2000. CLIMBER-2-LPJ simulates the land cover contribution to atmospheric CO2 growth to decrease from 68% during 1900–1960 to 12 % in the 1980s. Overall, our simulations show a decline in the relative role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase during the last 150 years. |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
title |
Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
title_short |
Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
title_full |
Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
title_fullStr |
Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
title_full_unstemmed |
Role of land cover changes for atmospheric CO2 increase |
title_sort |
role of land cover changes for atmospheric co2 increase |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.565.7823 http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf |
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ENVELOPE(-64.486,-64.486,-65.379,-65.379) |
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Grim |
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Grim |
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ice core |
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ice core |
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http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf |
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http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.565.7823 http://www.pik-potsdam.de/members/cramer/publications/before-2005/Brovkin_2004_GCB.pdf |
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Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766029703991263232 |