[1] Katrina is a grim reminder of the serious social and economic threat that hurricanes pose to the United States. Recent advances in hurricane climate science provide skillful forecasts of the U.S. hurricane threat at (or near) the start of the season. Predictions of hurricane landfalls at longer...

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Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
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http://myweb.fsu.edu/jelsner/PDF/Research/ElsnerMurnaneJagger2006.pdf