1RELIABILITY ASSESSMENT OF ARCTIC EER SYSTEMS

• Main Authors: F. G. Bercha, M. Cerovšek, Wesley Abel
• Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
• Format: Text
• Language: English
• Subjects: Arctic
• Online Access: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.529.2985; http://www.berchagroup.com/publications/2402-IAHR.pdf

Methodologies for the assessment of offshore installation EER systems have been developed utilizing various risk analytic network and simulation approaches. In this paper, the extension of a highly developed network and Monte Carlo simulation methodology to consider Arctic ice conditions impact on the emergency escape, evacuation, and rescue from floating and bottom founded installations is described. Essentially, open water EER simulation is augmented by the inclusion of cold weather and ice conditions together with estimates of their effects on human and mechanical performance of the EER system and its components. Following a description of the EER simulation principles and processes, selected Arctic and open water scenarios are described and representative results of reliabilities of different EER system configurations under a range of open water and Arctic conditions are presented. Conclusions and recommendations for further work are given.