Upward wave activity flux as precursor to extreme stratospheric events and subsequent anomalous surface weather regimes

• Main Authors: Lorenzo M. Polvani, Darryn W. Waugh
• Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
• Format: Text
• Language: English
• Subjects: Arctic; Baldwin
• Online Access: http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.517.9618; http://www.columbia.edu/~lmp/paps/polvani+waugh-JCLIM-2004.pdf

It has recently been shown that extreme stratospheric events (ESEs) are followed by surface weather anomalies (for up to 60 days), suggesting that stratospheric variability might be used to extend weather prediction beyond current time scales. In this paper, attention is drawn away from the stratosp...