****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation
We are now on the threshold of including Earth system model (ESM) components in “standard” global coupled climate models used for climate change projections. At present, these standard models (referred to generically as atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, or AOGCMs) include components of at...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.467.4666 2023-05-15T18:18:25+02:00 ****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation Gerald A. Meehl Kathy Hibbard The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2006 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.467.4666 http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.467.4666 http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf text 2006 ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T07:00:46Z We are now on the threshold of including Earth system model (ESM) components in “standard” global coupled climate models used for climate change projections. At present, these standard models (referred to generically as atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, or AOGCMs) include components of atmosphere, ocean, land and sea ice. Some modeling centers have incorporated simple carbon cycle models into AOGCM’s (e.g., Cox et al. 2000, Friedlingstein et al. 2006), and additional candidate components include aerosols, chemistry, and dynamic vegetation, as discussed below. Assuming the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) publication date is early 2013, modeling groups are making decisions this year (2006) on what form their next generation models will take (to be used for climate change projections). New emission scenarios have been and continue to be developed by the integrated assessment community and others (e.g. mitigation/adaptation, also referred to as stabilization). Many of these scenarios reflect the recommendations of the 25th IPCC Session (April 2006) that the following four elements should be addressed in the development of new scenarios: (1) Consistency between scenarios used for studying climate change, climate change impacts and Text Sea ice Unknown |
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We are now on the threshold of including Earth system model (ESM) components in “standard” global coupled climate models used for climate change projections. At present, these standard models (referred to generically as atmosphere-ocean general circulation models, or AOGCMs) include components of atmosphere, ocean, land and sea ice. Some modeling centers have incorporated simple carbon cycle models into AOGCM’s (e.g., Cox et al. 2000, Friedlingstein et al. 2006), and additional candidate components include aerosols, chemistry, and dynamic vegetation, as discussed below. Assuming the Intergovernmental Panel for Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) publication date is early 2013, modeling groups are making decisions this year (2006) on what form their next generation models will take (to be used for climate change projections). New emission scenarios have been and continue to be developed by the integrated assessment community and others (e.g. mitigation/adaptation, also referred to as stabilization). Many of these scenarios reflect the recommendations of the 25th IPCC Session (April 2006) that the following four elements should be addressed in the development of new scenarios: (1) Consistency between scenarios used for studying climate change, climate change impacts and |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Gerald A. Meehl Kathy Hibbard |
spellingShingle |
Gerald A. Meehl Kathy Hibbard ****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
author_facet |
Gerald A. Meehl Kathy Hibbard |
author_sort |
Gerald A. Meehl |
title |
****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
title_short |
****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
title_full |
****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
title_fullStr |
****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
title_full_unstemmed |
****DRAFT REPORT FOR WGCM/AIMES**** 1 Earth System Models: The Next Generation |
title_sort |
****draft report for wgcm/aimes**** 1 earth system models: the next generation |
publishDate |
2006 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.467.4666 http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf |
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Sea ice |
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Sea ice |
op_source |
http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf |
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http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.467.4666 http://www.aimes.ucar.edu/docs/ssc/2006/esm.draftreport.pdf |
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Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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