2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries
Abstract. We analyze reconstructions of large-scale surface temperature patterns in past centuries for insights into long-term climate change in the Middle and Near East. The temperature reconstructions, which have been described in detail previously, are based on calibration of widespread networks...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.407.9173 2023-05-15T17:32:23+02:00 2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries Michael E. Mann The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.407.9173 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.407.9173 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-01-08T03:08:28Z Abstract. We analyze reconstructions of large-scale surface temperature patterns in past centuries for insights into long-term climate change in the Middle and Near East. The temperature reconstructions, which have been described in detail previously, are based on calibration of widespread networks of high-resolution proxy and long instrumental/historical records against the 20th century global instrumental surface temperature record. We document the influence of several distinct patterns of large-scale surface temperature variation on Middle/Near East temperature (‘MNET’) in the region during past centuries. The dominant pattern of influence on interannual and decadal timescales is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), exhibiting significant amplitude modulation on multidecadal and century timescales. Other patterns dominate multidecadal timescale MNET variations. The influence of such patterns, and recent decadal trends in the NAO, may mask the influence of anthropogenic climate change in the MNET region in recent decades. 1. Text North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Unknown |
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English |
description |
Abstract. We analyze reconstructions of large-scale surface temperature patterns in past centuries for insights into long-term climate change in the Middle and Near East. The temperature reconstructions, which have been described in detail previously, are based on calibration of widespread networks of high-resolution proxy and long instrumental/historical records against the 20th century global instrumental surface temperature record. We document the influence of several distinct patterns of large-scale surface temperature variation on Middle/Near East temperature (‘MNET’) in the region during past centuries. The dominant pattern of influence on interannual and decadal timescales is the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), exhibiting significant amplitude modulation on multidecadal and century timescales. Other patterns dominate multidecadal timescale MNET variations. The influence of such patterns, and recent decadal trends in the NAO, may mask the influence of anthropogenic climate change in the MNET region in recent decades. 1. |
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The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
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Text |
author |
Michael E. Mann |
spellingShingle |
Michael E. Mann 2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
author_facet |
Michael E. Mann |
author_sort |
Michael E. Mann |
title |
2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
title_short |
2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
title_full |
2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
title_fullStr |
2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
title_full_unstemmed |
2002b: Large-scale climate variability and connections with the Middle East in past centuries |
title_sort |
2002b: large-scale climate variability and connections with the middle east in past centuries |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.407.9173 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf |
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North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.407.9173 http://www.meteo.psu.edu/holocene/public_html/shared/articles/MannClimChng02.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766130488464900096 |