1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability
Sea level rise (SLR) is an inescapable consequence of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, with potentially harmful effects on human populations in coastal and island regions. Observational evidence indicates that global sea level has risen in the 20 th century, and climate models project an ac...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | |
Format: | Text |
Language: | English |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.384.1908 http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf |
id |
ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.384.1908 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.384.1908 2023-05-15T17:32:18+02:00 1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability Aixue Hu Clara Deser The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.384.1908 http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.384.1908 http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-09-18T00:29:29Z Sea level rise (SLR) is an inescapable consequence of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, with potentially harmful effects on human populations in coastal and island regions. Observational evidence indicates that global sea level has risen in the 20 th century, and climate models project an acceleration of this trend in the coming decades. Here we analyze rates of future SLR on regional scales in a 40-member ensemble of climate change projections with the Community Climate System Model Version 3. This unique ensemble allows us to assess uncertainty in the magnitude of 21 st century SLR due to internal climate variability alone. We find that simulated regional SLR at mid-century can vary by a factor of two depending on location, with the North Atlantic and Pacific showing the greatest range. This uncertainty in regional SLR results primarily from internal variations in the wind-driven and buoyancy-driven ocean circulations. Text North Atlantic Unknown Pacific |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Unknown |
op_collection_id |
ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
description |
Sea level rise (SLR) is an inescapable consequence of increasing greenhouse gas concentrations, with potentially harmful effects on human populations in coastal and island regions. Observational evidence indicates that global sea level has risen in the 20 th century, and climate models project an acceleration of this trend in the coming decades. Here we analyze rates of future SLR on regional scales in a 40-member ensemble of climate change projections with the Community Climate System Model Version 3. This unique ensemble allows us to assess uncertainty in the magnitude of 21 st century SLR due to internal climate variability alone. We find that simulated regional SLR at mid-century can vary by a factor of two depending on location, with the North Atlantic and Pacific showing the greatest range. This uncertainty in regional SLR results primarily from internal variations in the wind-driven and buoyancy-driven ocean circulations. |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Aixue Hu Clara Deser |
spellingShingle |
Aixue Hu Clara Deser 1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
author_facet |
Aixue Hu Clara Deser |
author_sort |
Aixue Hu |
title |
1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
title_short |
1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
title_full |
1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
title_fullStr |
1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
title_full_unstemmed |
1 2 3 4 5 Uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
title_sort |
1 2 3 4 5 uncertainty in future regional sea level rise due to internal climate variability |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.384.1908 http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf |
geographic |
Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Pacific |
genre |
North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic |
op_source |
http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.384.1908 http://www.cgd.ucar.edu/cas/cdeser/Docs/submitted.hu.sealevelrise.apr13.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
_version_ |
1766130341934792704 |