Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation
We explore the potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) using a coupled global climate model (HadCM3). Rapid changes in the temperature and salinity of surface water in the Nordic Seas, and the flow of dense water through Denmark Strait, are...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.383.8965 2023-05-15T16:00:34+02:00 Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation Rowan Sutton The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2008 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.383.8965 http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.383.8965 http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf text 2008 ftciteseerx 2016-09-18T00:29:01Z We explore the potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) using a coupled global climate model (HadCM3). Rapid changes in the temperature and salinity of surface water in the Nordic Seas, and the flow of dense water through Denmark Strait, are found to be precursors to rapid changes in the model’s MOC, with a lead time of around 10 years. The mechanism proposed to explain this potential predictability relies on the development of density anomalies in the Nordic Seas which propagate through Denmark Strait and along the deep western boundary current, affecting the overturning. These rapid changes in the MOC have significant, and widespread, climate impacts which are potentially predictable a few years ahead. Whilst the flow through Denmark Strait is too strong in HadCM3, the presence of such potential predictability motivates the monitoring of water properties in the Nordic Seas and Denmark Strait. 1. Text Denmark Strait Nordic Seas Unknown |
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ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
description |
We explore the potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (MOC) using a coupled global climate model (HadCM3). Rapid changes in the temperature and salinity of surface water in the Nordic Seas, and the flow of dense water through Denmark Strait, are found to be precursors to rapid changes in the model’s MOC, with a lead time of around 10 years. The mechanism proposed to explain this potential predictability relies on the development of density anomalies in the Nordic Seas which propagate through Denmark Strait and along the deep western boundary current, affecting the overturning. These rapid changes in the MOC have significant, and widespread, climate impacts which are potentially predictable a few years ahead. Whilst the flow through Denmark Strait is too strong in HadCM3, the presence of such potential predictability motivates the monitoring of water properties in the Nordic Seas and Denmark Strait. 1. |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Rowan Sutton |
spellingShingle |
Rowan Sutton Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
author_facet |
Rowan Sutton |
author_sort |
Rowan Sutton |
title |
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
title_short |
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
title_full |
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
title_fullStr |
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
title_full_unstemmed |
Potential predictability of rapid changes in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
title_sort |
potential predictability of rapid changes in the atlantic meridional overturning circulation |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.383.8965 http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf |
genre |
Denmark Strait Nordic Seas |
genre_facet |
Denmark Strait Nordic Seas |
op_source |
http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.383.8965 http://www.met.reading.ac.uk/~ed/home/hawkins_sutton_2008_GRL_predictability.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
_version_ |
1766396567744413696 |