Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System
[1] During the last decade, there have been increasing concerns over water resource drought in northern England, brought about by the 1995 Yorkshire drought with an estimated 5-month rainfall return period of 200 years. The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resource reliability, re...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.323.7397 2023-05-15T17:33:04+02:00 Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System H. J. Fowler C. G. Kilsby P. E. O’connell The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2003 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.323.7397 http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.323.7397 http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf supply KEYWORDS water resources drought stochastic rainfall model climate change North Atlantic Oscillation UK text 2003 ftciteseerx 2016-09-04T00:25:12Z [1] During the last decade, there have been increasing concerns over water resource drought in northern England, brought about by the 1995 Yorkshire drought with an estimated 5-month rainfall return period of 200 years. The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resource reliability, resilience, and vulnerability in this region are examined by modeling changes to weather type frequency, mean rainfall statistics, and potential evapotranspiration. Results indicate future improvements in water resource reliability due to increased winter rainfall but reductions in resource resilience and an increased vulnerability to drought. Severe droughts comparable to that of 1995 show only a slight increase in frequency by 2080. However, there are significant increases in both the magnitude and duration of severe water resource drought, as a consequence of summer rainfall reductions and increased climatic variability. This research provides a basis for the future planning and management of the Yorkshire water resource system. Text North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation Unknown |
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English |
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supply KEYWORDS water resources drought stochastic rainfall model climate change North Atlantic Oscillation UK |
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supply KEYWORDS water resources drought stochastic rainfall model climate change North Atlantic Oscillation UK H. J. Fowler C. G. Kilsby P. E. O’connell Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
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supply KEYWORDS water resources drought stochastic rainfall model climate change North Atlantic Oscillation UK |
description |
[1] During the last decade, there have been increasing concerns over water resource drought in northern England, brought about by the 1995 Yorkshire drought with an estimated 5-month rainfall return period of 200 years. The impacts of climatic change and variability on water resource reliability, resilience, and vulnerability in this region are examined by modeling changes to weather type frequency, mean rainfall statistics, and potential evapotranspiration. Results indicate future improvements in water resource reliability due to increased winter rainfall but reductions in resource resilience and an increased vulnerability to drought. Severe droughts comparable to that of 1995 show only a slight increase in frequency by 2080. However, there are significant increases in both the magnitude and duration of severe water resource drought, as a consequence of summer rainfall reductions and increased climatic variability. This research provides a basis for the future planning and management of the Yorkshire water resource system. |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
H. J. Fowler C. G. Kilsby P. E. O’connell |
author_facet |
H. J. Fowler C. G. Kilsby P. E. O’connell |
author_sort |
H. J. Fowler |
title |
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
title_short |
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
title_full |
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
title_fullStr |
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
title_full_unstemmed |
Modeling the Impact of Climate Change and Variability and the Reliability, Resilience and Vulnerability of a Water Resource System |
title_sort |
modeling the impact of climate change and variability and the reliability, resilience and vulnerability of a water resource system |
publishDate |
2003 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.323.7397 http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf |
genre |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
genre_facet |
North Atlantic North Atlantic oscillation |
op_source |
http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.323.7397 http://www.staff.ncl.ac.uk/h.j.fowler/2003WR001778.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766131439103901696 |