1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest
Climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) on the whole reproduce the observed seasonal cycle and 20th century warming trend of 0.8°C (1.5°F) in the Pacific Northwest, and point to much greater warming for the next century. These models...
Main Authors: | , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | |
Format: | Text |
Language: | English |
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.226.2108 http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf |
id |
ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.226.2108 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.226.2108 2023-05-15T13:52:33+02:00 1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest Philip W. Mote Eric P. Salathé The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.226.2108 http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.226.2108 http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T18:30:30Z Climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) on the whole reproduce the observed seasonal cycle and 20th century warming trend of 0.8°C (1.5°F) in the Pacific Northwest, and point to much greater warming for the next century. These models project increases in annual temperature of, on average, 1.1°C (2.0°F) by the 2020s, 1.8°C (3.2°F) by the 2040s, and 3.0°C (5.3°F) by the 2080s, compared with the average from 1970 to 1999, averaged across all climate models. Rates of warming range from 0.1 to 0.6°C (0.2 ° to 1.0°F) per decade. Projected changes in annual precipitation, averaged over all models, are small (+1 to +2%), but some models project an enhanced seasonal cycle with changes toward wetter autumns and winters and drier summers. Changes in nearshore sea surface temperatures, though smaller than on land, are likely to substantially exceed interannual variability, but coastal upwelling changes little. Rates of 21st century sea level rise will depend on poorly known factors like ice sheet instability in Greenland and Antarctica, and could be as low as 20th century values (20cm, 8”) or as large as 1.3m (50”). Text Antarc* Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet Unknown Greenland Pacific |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Unknown |
op_collection_id |
ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
description |
Climate models used in the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fourth Assessment Report (AR4) on the whole reproduce the observed seasonal cycle and 20th century warming trend of 0.8°C (1.5°F) in the Pacific Northwest, and point to much greater warming for the next century. These models project increases in annual temperature of, on average, 1.1°C (2.0°F) by the 2020s, 1.8°C (3.2°F) by the 2040s, and 3.0°C (5.3°F) by the 2080s, compared with the average from 1970 to 1999, averaged across all climate models. Rates of warming range from 0.1 to 0.6°C (0.2 ° to 1.0°F) per decade. Projected changes in annual precipitation, averaged over all models, are small (+1 to +2%), but some models project an enhanced seasonal cycle with changes toward wetter autumns and winters and drier summers. Changes in nearshore sea surface temperatures, though smaller than on land, are likely to substantially exceed interannual variability, but coastal upwelling changes little. Rates of 21st century sea level rise will depend on poorly known factors like ice sheet instability in Greenland and Antarctica, and could be as low as 20th century values (20cm, 8”) or as large as 1.3m (50”). |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Philip W. Mote Eric P. Salathé |
spellingShingle |
Philip W. Mote Eric P. Salathé 1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
author_facet |
Philip W. Mote Eric P. Salathé |
author_sort |
Philip W. Mote |
title |
1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
title_short |
1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
title_full |
1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
title_fullStr |
1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
title_full_unstemmed |
1: Scenarios Future Climate in the Pacific Northwest |
title_sort |
1: scenarios future climate in the pacific northwest |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.226.2108 http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf |
geographic |
Greenland Pacific |
geographic_facet |
Greenland Pacific |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctica Greenland Ice Sheet |
op_source |
http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.226.2108 http://cses.washington.edu/db/pdf/wacciach1scenarios642.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
_version_ |
1766256940700139520 |