Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland §
ABSTRACT: We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.178.9399 2023-05-15T16:45:34+02:00 Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2010 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.178.9399 http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.178.9399 http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf Toronto for helpful comments and discussions. We are also grateful to Benjamin Schachter and Rebecca text 2010 ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T16:22:03Z ABSTRACT: We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in each of the next two years, for a total effect of 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate: these adaptations take about 20 years and reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, we find that a 1 ◦ C sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10 % to 26%. Text Iceland Unknown |
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Toronto for helpful comments and discussions. We are also grateful to Benjamin Schachter and Rebecca |
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Toronto for helpful comments and discussions. We are also grateful to Benjamin Schachter and Rebecca Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
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Toronto for helpful comments and discussions. We are also grateful to Benjamin Schachter and Rebecca |
description |
ABSTRACT: We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in each of the next two years, for a total effect of 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate: these adaptations take about 20 years and reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, we find that a 1 ◦ C sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10 % to 26%. |
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The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao |
author_facet |
Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao |
author_sort |
Matthew A. Turner |
title |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
title_short |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
title_full |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
title_fullStr |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
title_full_unstemmed |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland § |
title_sort |
adaptation to climate change: evidence from 18th and 19th century iceland § |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.178.9399 http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
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Iceland |
genre_facet |
Iceland |
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http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
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http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.178.9399 http://markov.utstat.toronto.edu/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
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Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766035726327087104 |