Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by
We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in each of th...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.167.9455 2023-05-15T16:44:57+02:00 Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2010 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.167.9455 http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.167.9455 http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf text 2010 ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T15:54:13Z We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in each of the next two years, for a total effect of 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate: these adaptations take about 20 years and reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, we find that a 1 ◦ C sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10 % to Text Iceland Unknown |
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English |
description |
We investigate the effect of climate change on population growth in 18th and 19th century Iceland. We find that annual temperature changes help determine the population growth rate in pre-industrial Iceland: a year 1 ◦ C cooler than average drives down population growth rates by 0.57 % in each of the next two years, for a total effect of 1.14%. We also find that 18th and 19th century Icelanders adapt to prolonged changes in climate: these adaptations take about 20 years and reduce the short run effect of annual change in temperature by about 60%. Finally, we find that a 1 ◦ C sustained decrease in temperature decreases the steady state population by 10 % to |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao |
spellingShingle |
Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
author_facet |
Matthew A. Turner Jeffrey S. Rosenthal Jian Chen Chunyan Hao |
author_sort |
Matthew A. Turner |
title |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
title_short |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
title_full |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
title_fullStr |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
title_full_unstemmed |
Adaptation to Climate Change: Evidence from 18th and 19th Century Iceland by |
title_sort |
adaptation to climate change: evidence from 18th and 19th century iceland by |
publishDate |
2010 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.167.9455 http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
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Iceland |
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Iceland |
op_source |
http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.167.9455 http://probability.ca/jeff/ftpdir/icelandpop.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766035192777015296 |