Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim
Paleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is ~3°C for doubled CO2, including only fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks, is ~6°C for doubled CO2 for the range of climate states between glacial conditions and icefree Antarctica. Decreasing C...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.164.6765 2023-05-15T13:39:14+02:00 Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim James Hansen Makiko Sato Pushker Kharecha David Beerling Valerie Masson-delmotte Mark Pagani Maureen Raymo Dana L. Royer James C. Zachos The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2008 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.164.6765 http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.164.6765 http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf text 2008 ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T15:49:46Z Paleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is ~3°C for doubled CO2, including only fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks, is ~6°C for doubled CO2 for the range of climate states between glacial conditions and icefree Antarctica. Decreasing CO2 was the main cause of a cooling trend that began 50 million years ago, large scale glaciation occurring when CO2 fell to 425±75 ppm, a level that will be exceeded within decades, barring prompt policy changes. If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 385 ppm to at most 350 ppm. The largest uncertainty in the target arises from possible changes of non-CO2 forcings. An initial 350 ppm CO2 target may be achievable by phasing out coal use except where CO2 is captured and adopting agricultural and forestry practices that sequester carbon. If the present overshoot of this target CO2 is not brief, there is a possibility of seeding irreversible catastrophic effects. Human activities are altering Earth’s atmospheric composition. Concern about global warming due to long-lived human-made greenhouse gases (GHGs) led to the United Nations Framework Text Antarc* Antarctica Unknown |
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Paleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is ~3°C for doubled CO2, including only fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks, is ~6°C for doubled CO2 for the range of climate states between glacial conditions and icefree Antarctica. Decreasing CO2 was the main cause of a cooling trend that began 50 million years ago, large scale glaciation occurring when CO2 fell to 425±75 ppm, a level that will be exceeded within decades, barring prompt policy changes. If humanity wishes to preserve a planet similar to that on which civilization developed and to which life on Earth is adapted, paleoclimate evidence and ongoing climate change suggest that CO2 will need to be reduced from its current 385 ppm to at most 350 ppm. The largest uncertainty in the target arises from possible changes of non-CO2 forcings. An initial 350 ppm CO2 target may be achievable by phasing out coal use except where CO2 is captured and adopting agricultural and forestry practices that sequester carbon. If the present overshoot of this target CO2 is not brief, there is a possibility of seeding irreversible catastrophic effects. Human activities are altering Earth’s atmospheric composition. Concern about global warming due to long-lived human-made greenhouse gases (GHGs) led to the United Nations Framework |
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The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
James Hansen Makiko Sato Pushker Kharecha David Beerling Valerie Masson-delmotte Mark Pagani Maureen Raymo Dana L. Royer James C. Zachos |
spellingShingle |
James Hansen Makiko Sato Pushker Kharecha David Beerling Valerie Masson-delmotte Mark Pagani Maureen Raymo Dana L. Royer James C. Zachos Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
author_facet |
James Hansen Makiko Sato Pushker Kharecha David Beerling Valerie Masson-delmotte Mark Pagani Maureen Raymo Dana L. Royer James C. Zachos |
author_sort |
James Hansen |
title |
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
title_short |
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
title_full |
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
title_fullStr |
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
title_full_unstemmed |
Target Atmospheric CO2: Where Should Humanity Aim |
title_sort |
target atmospheric co2: where should humanity aim |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.164.6765 http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf |
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Antarc* Antarctica |
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Antarc* Antarctica |
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http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf |
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http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.164.6765 http://www.fortune.binghamton.edu/publications/kdd05finalv2.pdf |
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Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766116283415265280 |