DOI 10.1007/s00382-009-0689-2 Energy budget of the extreme Autumn 2006 in Europe Mxolisi Excellent Shongwe • R. G. Graversen •

was extraordinarily mild in many parts of Europe. Near-surface temperatures were more than three standard deviations above the 1961–1990 climatology. Even accounting for global warming, this event was far outside the probability density function of previous observations or climate model simulations....

Full description

Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: F. J. Doblas-reyes, M. E. Shongwe, R. G. Graversen, Koninklijk Nederl, S Meteorologisch Instituut (knmi
Other Authors: The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives
Format: Text
Language:English
Published: 2009
Subjects:
Online Access:http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.157.2180
http://www.knmi.nl/africa_scenarios/CLIDY-D-09-00220.pdf
Description
Summary:was extraordinarily mild in many parts of Europe. Near-surface temperatures were more than three standard deviations above the 1961–1990 climatology. Even accounting for global warming, this event was far outside the probability density function of previous observations or climate model simulations. To investigate the mechanisms behind this event, the energy-budget for Autumn 2006 in Europe is estimated. Atmospheric energytransport convergence over Europe is calculated and compared with the net energy flux at the top of the atmosphere as well as at the earth’s surface. The central North-Atlantic Ocean constituted the major source of energy. Here, the release of both sensible and latent heat was anomalously high. Atmospheric circulation played a crucial role by transporting the excess energy into Europe. Of this energy excess, dry-static energy was larger than the latent part, partly due to an additional contribution derived from a conversion of latent energy to sensible heat, which occurred upstream of the study area in the eastern Atlantic. In Europe, surface turbulent-energy fluxes into the atmosphere respond to atmospheric energy-transport convergence and are accordingly suppressed due to the anomalously high temperature and humidity content of the overlying air. The net outflow of radiational energy to space is anomalously high but not sufficient to offset the large positive anomaly of