the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected
Abstract. The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations o...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.157.1728 2023-05-15T17:25:18+02:00 the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected G. J. Van Oldenborgh S. Drijfhout A. Van Ulden R. Haarsma A. Sterl C. Severijns W. Hazeleger The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives 2008 application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.157.1728 http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.157.1728 http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf text 2008 ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T15:32:26Z Abstract. The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations on a local scale, because the signal-to-noise ratio was too low. The observed temperature trend in western Europe over the last decades appears much stronger than simulated by state-of-the-art GCMs. The difference is very unlikely due to random fluctuations, either in fast weather processes or in decadal climate fluctuations. In winter and spring, changes in atmospheric circulation are important; in spring and summer changes in soil moisture and cloud cover. A misrepresentation of the North Atlantic Current affects trends along the coast. Many of these processes ontinue to affect trends in projections for the 21st century. This implies that climate predictions for western Europe probably underestimate the effects of anthropogenic climate change. 1 Text north atlantic current North Atlantic Unknown |
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description |
Abstract. The warming trend of the last decades is now so strong that it is discernible in local temperature observations. This opens the possibility to compare the trend to the warming predicted by comprehensive climate models (GCMs), which up to now could not be verified directly to observations on a local scale, because the signal-to-noise ratio was too low. The observed temperature trend in western Europe over the last decades appears much stronger than simulated by state-of-the-art GCMs. The difference is very unlikely due to random fluctuations, either in fast weather processes or in decadal climate fluctuations. In winter and spring, changes in atmospheric circulation are important; in spring and summer changes in soil moisture and cloud cover. A misrepresentation of the North Atlantic Current affects trends along the coast. Many of these processes ontinue to affect trends in projections for the 21st century. This implies that climate predictions for western Europe probably underestimate the effects of anthropogenic climate change. 1 |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
G. J. Van Oldenborgh S. Drijfhout A. Van Ulden R. Haarsma A. Sterl C. Severijns W. Hazeleger |
spellingShingle |
G. J. Van Oldenborgh S. Drijfhout A. Van Ulden R. Haarsma A. Sterl C. Severijns W. Hazeleger the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
author_facet |
G. J. Van Oldenborgh S. Drijfhout A. Van Ulden R. Haarsma A. Sterl C. Severijns W. Hazeleger |
author_sort |
G. J. Van Oldenborgh |
title |
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
title_short |
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
title_full |
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
title_fullStr |
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
title_full_unstemmed |
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License. Climate of the Past Western Europe is warming much faster than expected |
title_sort |
creative commons attribution 3.0 license. climate of the past western europe is warming much faster than expected |
publishDate |
2008 |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.157.1728 http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf |
genre |
north atlantic current North Atlantic |
genre_facet |
north atlantic current North Atlantic |
op_source |
http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.157.1728 http://www.knmi.nl/publications/fulltexts/cp512009.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766116682348101632 |