2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys
[1] Monthly and seasonal stratospheric zonal-mean temperature trends arising from recent changes in stratospheric ozone and well-mixed greenhouse gases (WMGGs) are simulated using a general circulation model and compared with observed (1979–2000) trends. The combined effect of these gases yields sta...
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ftciteseerx:oai:CiteSeerX.psu:10.1.1.143.9529 2023-05-15T14:02:18+02:00 2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys M. D. Schwarzkopf V. Ramaswamy The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives application/pdf http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.143.9529 http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf en eng http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.143.9529 http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf text ftciteseerx 2016-01-07T15:03:50Z [1] Monthly and seasonal stratospheric zonal-mean temperature trends arising from recent changes in stratospheric ozone and well-mixed greenhouse gases (WMGGs) are simulated using a general circulation model and compared with observed (1979–2000) trends. The combined effect of these gases yields statistically significant cooling trends over the entire globally averaged stratosphere in all months. In the Arctic (60°N–90°N), statistically significant trends occur only in summer and extend through the entire stratosphere. In the Antarctic (90°S–65°S), the simulations reproduce the observed seasonal pattern of the lower stratosphere temperature trend. Seasonal trends at 50 hPa are consistent with observed trends at all latitudes, considering model dynamical variability and observational uncertainty. The lack of robustness in simulated and observed Arctic winter trends indicates the futility of attributing these trends to trace gas concentration changes. Such attribution arguments may be made with greater confidence regarding middle and high latitude Northern Hemisphere summer temperature trends. INDEX TERMS: Text Antarc* Antarctic Arctic Unknown Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic |
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ftciteseerx |
language |
English |
description |
[1] Monthly and seasonal stratospheric zonal-mean temperature trends arising from recent changes in stratospheric ozone and well-mixed greenhouse gases (WMGGs) are simulated using a general circulation model and compared with observed (1979–2000) trends. The combined effect of these gases yields statistically significant cooling trends over the entire globally averaged stratosphere in all months. In the Arctic (60°N–90°N), statistically significant trends occur only in summer and extend through the entire stratosphere. In the Antarctic (90°S–65°S), the simulations reproduce the observed seasonal pattern of the lower stratosphere temperature trend. Seasonal trends at 50 hPa are consistent with observed trends at all latitudes, considering model dynamical variability and observational uncertainty. The lack of robustness in simulated and observed Arctic winter trends indicates the futility of attributing these trends to trace gas concentration changes. Such attribution arguments may be made with greater confidence regarding middle and high latitude Northern Hemisphere summer temperature trends. INDEX TERMS: |
author2 |
The Pennsylvania State University CiteSeerX Archives |
format |
Text |
author |
M. D. Schwarzkopf V. Ramaswamy |
spellingShingle |
M. D. Schwarzkopf V. Ramaswamy 2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
author_facet |
M. D. Schwarzkopf V. Ramaswamy |
author_sort |
M. D. Schwarzkopf |
title |
2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
title_short |
2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
title_full |
2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
title_fullStr |
2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
title_full_unstemmed |
2002), Effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, Geophys |
title_sort |
2002), effects of changes in well-mixed gases and ozone on stratospheric seasonal temperatures, geophys |
url |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.143.9529 http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf |
geographic |
Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic Arctic The Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Arctic |
op_source |
http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf |
op_relation |
http://citeseerx.ist.psu.edu/viewdoc/summary?doi=10.1.1.143.9529 http://www.gfdl.noaa.gov/reference/bibliography/2002/ds0201.pdf |
op_rights |
Metadata may be used without restrictions as long as the oai identifier remains attached to it. |
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1766272513420034048 |