Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers
Permafrost is one of the key components of terrestrial ecosystem in cold regions. In the context of climate change, few studies have investigated resilience of social ecological system (SER) from the perspective of permafrost that restricts the hydrothermal condition of alpine grassland ecosystem. I...
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Online Access: | http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24942 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24943 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z |
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ftchinacadscimhe:oai:ir.imde.ac.cn:131551/24943 2023-05-15T13:03:11+02:00 Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers Fang Yi-ping Zhu Fu-biao Yi Shu-hua Qiu Xiao-ping Ding Yong-jian 2019 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24942 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24943 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z 英语 eng SCIENCE PRESS JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24942 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24943 doi:10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z Resilience of social ecological system Permafrost Permafrost active layer thickness Structural dynamic equation Source regions of Yangtze and Yellow rivers ACTIVE-LAYER HEADWATER REGION CHINA SENSITIVITY PERSPECTIVE ADAPTATION GRASSLAND INDEX Environmental Sciences & Ecology Environmental Sciences Article 期刊论文 2019 ftchinacadscimhe https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z 2022-12-19T18:20:57Z Permafrost is one of the key components of terrestrial ecosystem in cold regions. In the context of climate change, few studies have investigated resilience of social ecological system (SER) from the perspective of permafrost that restricts the hydrothermal condition of alpine grassland ecosystem. In this paper, based on the structural dynamics, we developed the numerical model for the SER in the permafrost regions of the source of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, analyzed the spatial-temporal characteristics and sensitivity of the SER, and estimated the effect of permafrost change on the SER. The results indicate that: 1) the SER has an increasing trend, especially after 1997, which is the joint effect of precipitation, temperature, NPP and ecological conservation projects; 2) the SER shows the spatial feature of high in southeast and low in northwest, which is consistent with the variation trends of high southeast and low northwest for the precipitation, temperature and NPP, and low southeast and high northwest for the altitude; 3) the high sensitive regions of SER to the permafrost change have gradually transited from the island distribution to zonal and planar distribution since 1980, moreover, the sensitive degree has gradually reduced; relatively, the sensitivity has high value in the north and south, and low value in the south and east; 4) the thickness of permafrost active layer shows a highly negative correlation with the SER. The contribution rate of permafrost change to the SER is -4.3%, that is, once the thickness of permafrost active layer increases 1 unit, the SER would decrease 0.04 units. Article in Journal/Newspaper Active layer thickness permafrost IMHE OpenIR (Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences) Journal of Mountain Science 16 1 179 194 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
IMHE OpenIR (Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences) |
op_collection_id |
ftchinacadscimhe |
language |
English |
topic |
Resilience of social ecological system Permafrost Permafrost active layer thickness Structural dynamic equation Source regions of Yangtze and Yellow rivers ACTIVE-LAYER HEADWATER REGION CHINA SENSITIVITY PERSPECTIVE ADAPTATION GRASSLAND INDEX Environmental Sciences & Ecology Environmental Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Resilience of social ecological system Permafrost Permafrost active layer thickness Structural dynamic equation Source regions of Yangtze and Yellow rivers ACTIVE-LAYER HEADWATER REGION CHINA SENSITIVITY PERSPECTIVE ADAPTATION GRASSLAND INDEX Environmental Sciences & Ecology Environmental Sciences Fang Yi-ping Zhu Fu-biao Yi Shu-hua Qiu Xiao-ping Ding Yong-jian Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
topic_facet |
Resilience of social ecological system Permafrost Permafrost active layer thickness Structural dynamic equation Source regions of Yangtze and Yellow rivers ACTIVE-LAYER HEADWATER REGION CHINA SENSITIVITY PERSPECTIVE ADAPTATION GRASSLAND INDEX Environmental Sciences & Ecology Environmental Sciences |
description |
Permafrost is one of the key components of terrestrial ecosystem in cold regions. In the context of climate change, few studies have investigated resilience of social ecological system (SER) from the perspective of permafrost that restricts the hydrothermal condition of alpine grassland ecosystem. In this paper, based on the structural dynamics, we developed the numerical model for the SER in the permafrost regions of the source of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers, analyzed the spatial-temporal characteristics and sensitivity of the SER, and estimated the effect of permafrost change on the SER. The results indicate that: 1) the SER has an increasing trend, especially after 1997, which is the joint effect of precipitation, temperature, NPP and ecological conservation projects; 2) the SER shows the spatial feature of high in southeast and low in northwest, which is consistent with the variation trends of high southeast and low northwest for the precipitation, temperature and NPP, and low southeast and high northwest for the altitude; 3) the high sensitive regions of SER to the permafrost change have gradually transited from the island distribution to zonal and planar distribution since 1980, moreover, the sensitive degree has gradually reduced; relatively, the sensitivity has high value in the north and south, and low value in the south and east; 4) the thickness of permafrost active layer shows a highly negative correlation with the SER. The contribution rate of permafrost change to the SER is -4.3%, that is, once the thickness of permafrost active layer increases 1 unit, the SER would decrease 0.04 units. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Fang Yi-ping Zhu Fu-biao Yi Shu-hua Qiu Xiao-ping Ding Yong-jian |
author_facet |
Fang Yi-ping Zhu Fu-biao Yi Shu-hua Qiu Xiao-ping Ding Yong-jian |
author_sort |
Fang Yi-ping |
title |
Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_short |
Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_full |
Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_fullStr |
Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_full_unstemmed |
Role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of Yangtze and Yellow Rivers |
title_sort |
role of permafrost in resilience of social-ecological system and its spatio-temporal dynamics in the source regions of yangtze and yellow rivers |
publisher |
SCIENCE PRESS |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24942 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24943 https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z |
genre |
Active layer thickness permafrost |
genre_facet |
Active layer thickness permafrost |
op_relation |
JOURNAL OF MOUNTAIN SCIENCE http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24942 http://ir.imde.ac.cn/handle/131551/24943 doi:10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11629-018-5078-z |
container_title |
Journal of Mountain Science |
container_volume |
16 |
container_issue |
1 |
container_start_page |
179 |
op_container_end_page |
194 |
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1766330360891703296 |