Substantial non-growing season carbon dioxide loss across Tibetan alpine permafrost region
One of the major uncertainties for projecting permafrost carbon (C)-climate feedback is a poor representation of the non-growing season carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions under a changing climate. Here, combining in situ field observations, regional synthesis and a random forest model, we assessed conte...
Published in: | Global Change Biology |
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Main Authors: | , , , , |
Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
Published: |
WILEY
2022
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Subjects: | |
Online Access: | http://ir.ibcas.ac.cn/handle/2S10CLM1/28628 https://doi.org/10.1111/gcb.16315 |
Summary: | One of the major uncertainties for projecting permafrost carbon (C)-climate feedback is a poor representation of the non-growing season carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions under a changing climate. Here, combining in situ field observations, regional synthesis and a random forest model, we assessed contemporary and future soil respired CO2 (i.e., soil respiration, R-s) across the Tibetan alpine permafrost region, which has received much less attention compared with the Arctic permafrost domain. We estimated the regional mean R-s of 229.8, 72.9 and 302.7 g C m(-2) year(-1) during growing season, non-growing season and the entire year, respectively; corresponding to the contemporary losses of 296.9, 94.3 and 391.2 Tg C year(-1) from this high-altitude permafrost-affected area. The non-growing season R-s accounted for a quarter of the annual soil CO2 efflux. Different from the prevailing view that temperature is the most limiting factor for cold-period CO2 release in Arctic permafrost ecosystems, precipitation determined the spatial pattern of non-growing season R-s on the Tibetan Plateau. Using the key predictors, model extrapolation demonstrated additional losses of 38.8 and 74.5 Tg C from the non-growing season for a moderate mitigation scenario and a business-as-usual emissions scenario, respectively. These results provide a baseline for non-growing season CO2 emissions from high-altitude permafrost areas and help for accurate projection of permafrost C-climate feedback. |
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