VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast
Arctic shipping along the Northern Sea Route (NSR) relies on reliable and precise sea ice concentration (SIC) information. However, the SIC forecast used to assist NSR shipping is often inaccurate. This study proposes a VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer model for the long-term SIC forecast ta...
Main Authors: | , , , , , |
---|---|
Language: | unknown |
Published: |
2022
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/fec6ae7c-74c4-4d38-beb9-184e99a99eb6 |
id |
ftchalmersuniv:oai:research.chalmers.se:533291 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftchalmersuniv:oai:research.chalmers.se:533291 2023-05-15T14:55:11+02:00 VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast Wu, Da Lang, Xiao Mao, Wengang Zhang, Di Zhang, Jinfen Liu, Rong 2022 text https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/fec6ae7c-74c4-4d38-beb9-184e99a99eb6 unknown https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/fec6ae7c-74c4-4d38-beb9-184e99a99eb6 Marine Engineering Probability Theory and Statistics Other Electrical Engineering Electronic Engineering Information Engineering Variational Autoencoder Arctic shipping Transformer Non autoregressive model Sea ice concentration Time series analysis 2022 ftchalmersuniv 2022-12-11T07:20:17Z Arctic shipping along the Northern Sea Route (NSR) relies on reliable and precise sea ice concentration (SIC) information. However, the SIC forecast used to assist NSR shipping is often inaccurate. This study proposes a VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer model for the long-term SIC forecast task. The proposed model ensembles the deep generative model of Variational Autoencoder and the deep learning model of Transformer to overcome the temporal delay and accumulative error problems shown in traditional time series models. Model validation has been conducted to compare the forecasts of SIC with other machine learning and deep learning models. The proposed model outperforms the compared models in terms of different metrics. The proposed VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer can be used for long-term SIC forecast and achieve stable and good accuracy predictions. Other/Unknown Material Arctic Northern Sea Route Sea ice Chalmers University of Technology: Chalmers research Arctic Vae ENVELOPE(27.945,27.945,70.829,70.829) |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Chalmers University of Technology: Chalmers research |
op_collection_id |
ftchalmersuniv |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Marine Engineering Probability Theory and Statistics Other Electrical Engineering Electronic Engineering Information Engineering Variational Autoencoder Arctic shipping Transformer Non autoregressive model Sea ice concentration Time series analysis |
spellingShingle |
Marine Engineering Probability Theory and Statistics Other Electrical Engineering Electronic Engineering Information Engineering Variational Autoencoder Arctic shipping Transformer Non autoregressive model Sea ice concentration Time series analysis Wu, Da Lang, Xiao Mao, Wengang Zhang, Di Zhang, Jinfen Liu, Rong VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
topic_facet |
Marine Engineering Probability Theory and Statistics Other Electrical Engineering Electronic Engineering Information Engineering Variational Autoencoder Arctic shipping Transformer Non autoregressive model Sea ice concentration Time series analysis |
description |
Arctic shipping along the Northern Sea Route (NSR) relies on reliable and precise sea ice concentration (SIC) information. However, the SIC forecast used to assist NSR shipping is often inaccurate. This study proposes a VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer model for the long-term SIC forecast task. The proposed model ensembles the deep generative model of Variational Autoencoder and the deep learning model of Transformer to overcome the temporal delay and accumulative error problems shown in traditional time series models. Model validation has been conducted to compare the forecasts of SIC with other machine learning and deep learning models. The proposed model outperforms the compared models in terms of different metrics. The proposed VAE based Non-Autoregressive Transformer can be used for long-term SIC forecast and achieve stable and good accuracy predictions. |
author |
Wu, Da Lang, Xiao Mao, Wengang Zhang, Di Zhang, Jinfen Liu, Rong |
author_facet |
Wu, Da Lang, Xiao Mao, Wengang Zhang, Di Zhang, Jinfen Liu, Rong |
author_sort |
Wu, Da |
title |
VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
title_short |
VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
title_full |
VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
title_fullStr |
VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
title_full_unstemmed |
VAE Based Non-Autoregressive Transformer Model for Sea Ice Concentration Forecast |
title_sort |
vae based non-autoregressive transformer model for sea ice concentration forecast |
publishDate |
2022 |
url |
https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/fec6ae7c-74c4-4d38-beb9-184e99a99eb6 |
long_lat |
ENVELOPE(27.945,27.945,70.829,70.829) |
geographic |
Arctic Vae |
geographic_facet |
Arctic Vae |
genre |
Arctic Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Northern Sea Route Sea ice |
op_relation |
https://research.chalmers.se/en/publication/fec6ae7c-74c4-4d38-beb9-184e99a99eb6 |
_version_ |
1766326962538676224 |