Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate
© 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. Understanding the causes of recent climatic trends and variability in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere is hampered by a short instrumental record. Here, we analyse recent atmosphere, surface ocean and sea-ice observations in this reg...
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Language: | English |
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ftcdlib:qt1nm9c81r 2023-05-15T13:43:56+02:00 Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate Jones, JM Gille, ST Goosse, H Abram, NJ Canziani, PO Charman, DJ Clem, KR Crosta, X De Lavergne, C Eisenman, I England, MH Fogt, RL Frankcombe, LM Marshall, GJ Masson-Delmotte, V Morrison, AK Orsi, AJ Raphael, MN Renwick, JA Schneider, DP Simpkins, GR Steig, EJ Stenni, B Swingedouw, D Vance, TR 917 - 926 2016-09-28 application/pdf http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r english eng eScholarship, University of California qt1nm9c81r http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r public Jones, JM; Gille, ST; Goosse, H; Abram, NJ; Canziani, PO; Charman, DJ; et al.(2016). Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate. Nature Climate Change, 6(10), 917 - 926. doi:10.1038/nclimate3103. UC San Diego: Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r article 2016 ftcdlib https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3103 2018-07-13T22:56:57Z © 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. Understanding the causes of recent climatic trends and variability in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere is hampered by a short instrumental record. Here, we analyse recent atmosphere, surface ocean and sea-ice observations in this region and assess their trends in the context of palaeoclimate records and climate model simulations. Over the 36-year satellite era, significant linear trends in annual mean sea-ice extent, surface temperature and sea-level pressure are superimposed on large interannual to decadal variability. Most observed trends, however, are not unusual when compared with Antarctic palaeoclimate records of the past two centuries. With the exception of the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode, climate model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing are not compatible with the observed trends. This suggests that natural variability overwhelms the forced response in the observations, but the models may not fully represent this natural variability or may overestimate the magnitude of the forced response. Article in Journal/Newspaper Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice University of California: eScholarship Antarctic Nature Climate Change 6 10 917 926 |
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Open Polar |
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University of California: eScholarship |
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language |
English |
description |
© 2016 Macmillan Publishers Limited, part of Springer Nature. Understanding the causes of recent climatic trends and variability in the high-latitude Southern Hemisphere is hampered by a short instrumental record. Here, we analyse recent atmosphere, surface ocean and sea-ice observations in this region and assess their trends in the context of palaeoclimate records and climate model simulations. Over the 36-year satellite era, significant linear trends in annual mean sea-ice extent, surface temperature and sea-level pressure are superimposed on large interannual to decadal variability. Most observed trends, however, are not unusual when compared with Antarctic palaeoclimate records of the past two centuries. With the exception of the positive trend in the Southern Annular Mode, climate model simulations that include anthropogenic forcing are not compatible with the observed trends. This suggests that natural variability overwhelms the forced response in the observations, but the models may not fully represent this natural variability or may overestimate the magnitude of the forced response. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Jones, JM Gille, ST Goosse, H Abram, NJ Canziani, PO Charman, DJ Clem, KR Crosta, X De Lavergne, C Eisenman, I England, MH Fogt, RL Frankcombe, LM Marshall, GJ Masson-Delmotte, V Morrison, AK Orsi, AJ Raphael, MN Renwick, JA Schneider, DP Simpkins, GR Steig, EJ Stenni, B Swingedouw, D Vance, TR |
spellingShingle |
Jones, JM Gille, ST Goosse, H Abram, NJ Canziani, PO Charman, DJ Clem, KR Crosta, X De Lavergne, C Eisenman, I England, MH Fogt, RL Frankcombe, LM Marshall, GJ Masson-Delmotte, V Morrison, AK Orsi, AJ Raphael, MN Renwick, JA Schneider, DP Simpkins, GR Steig, EJ Stenni, B Swingedouw, D Vance, TR Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
author_facet |
Jones, JM Gille, ST Goosse, H Abram, NJ Canziani, PO Charman, DJ Clem, KR Crosta, X De Lavergne, C Eisenman, I England, MH Fogt, RL Frankcombe, LM Marshall, GJ Masson-Delmotte, V Morrison, AK Orsi, AJ Raphael, MN Renwick, JA Schneider, DP Simpkins, GR Steig, EJ Stenni, B Swingedouw, D Vance, TR |
author_sort |
Jones, JM |
title |
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
title_short |
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
title_full |
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
title_fullStr |
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
title_full_unstemmed |
Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate |
title_sort |
assessing recent trends in high-latitude southern hemisphere surface climate |
publisher |
eScholarship, University of California |
publishDate |
2016 |
url |
http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r |
op_coverage |
917 - 926 |
geographic |
Antarctic |
geographic_facet |
Antarctic |
genre |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Antarc* Antarctic Sea ice |
op_source |
Jones, JM; Gille, ST; Goosse, H; Abram, NJ; Canziani, PO; Charman, DJ; et al.(2016). Assessing recent trends in high-latitude Southern Hemisphere surface climate. Nature Climate Change, 6(10), 917 - 926. doi:10.1038/nclimate3103. UC San Diego: Retrieved from: http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r |
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qt1nm9c81r http://www.escholarship.org/uc/item/1nm9c81r |
op_rights |
public |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate3103 |
container_title |
Nature Climate Change |
container_volume |
6 |
container_issue |
10 |
container_start_page |
917 |
op_container_end_page |
926 |
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1766195183008874496 |