Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean.
The Northwest Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico are among the fastest warming ocean regions, a trend that is expected to continue through this century with far-reaching implications for marine ecosystems. We examine the distribution of 12 highly migratory top predator species using predictive models...
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ftcdlib:oai:escholarship.org:ark:/13030/qt6vq8p9jm 2023-10-25T01:42:09+02:00 Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. Braun, Camrin Lezama-Ochoa, Nerea Farchadi, Nima Arostegui, Martin Alexander, Michael Allyn, Andrew Bograd, Steven Brodie, Stephanie Crear, Daniel Curtis, Tobey Hazen, Elliott Kerney, Alex Mills, Katherine Pugh, Dylan Scott, James Welch, Heather Young-Morse, Riley Lewison, Rebecca 2023-08-09 application/pdf https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6vq8p9jm unknown eScholarship, University of California qt6vq8p9jm https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6vq8p9jm public Science Advances, vol 9, iss 32 Ecosystem Atlantic Ocean Climate Change article 2023 ftcdlib 2023-09-25T18:04:56Z The Northwest Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico are among the fastest warming ocean regions, a trend that is expected to continue through this century with far-reaching implications for marine ecosystems. We examine the distribution of 12 highly migratory top predator species using predictive models and project expected habitat changes using downscaled climate models. Our models predict widespread losses of suitable habitat for most species, concurrent with substantial northward displacement of core habitats >500 km. These changes include up to >70% loss of suitable habitat area for some commercially and ecologically important species. We also identify predicted hot spots of multi-species habitat loss focused offshore of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts. For several species, the predicted changes are already underway, which are likely to have substantial impacts on the efficacy of static regulatory frameworks used to manage highly migratory species. The ongoing and projected effects of climate change highlight the urgent need to adaptively and proactively manage dynamic marine ecosystems. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northwest Atlantic University of California: eScholarship |
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Open Polar |
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University of California: eScholarship |
op_collection_id |
ftcdlib |
language |
unknown |
topic |
Ecosystem Atlantic Ocean Climate Change |
spellingShingle |
Ecosystem Atlantic Ocean Climate Change Braun, Camrin Lezama-Ochoa, Nerea Farchadi, Nima Arostegui, Martin Alexander, Michael Allyn, Andrew Bograd, Steven Brodie, Stephanie Crear, Daniel Curtis, Tobey Hazen, Elliott Kerney, Alex Mills, Katherine Pugh, Dylan Scott, James Welch, Heather Young-Morse, Riley Lewison, Rebecca Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
topic_facet |
Ecosystem Atlantic Ocean Climate Change |
description |
The Northwest Atlantic Ocean and Gulf of Mexico are among the fastest warming ocean regions, a trend that is expected to continue through this century with far-reaching implications for marine ecosystems. We examine the distribution of 12 highly migratory top predator species using predictive models and project expected habitat changes using downscaled climate models. Our models predict widespread losses of suitable habitat for most species, concurrent with substantial northward displacement of core habitats >500 km. These changes include up to >70% loss of suitable habitat area for some commercially and ecologically important species. We also identify predicted hot spots of multi-species habitat loss focused offshore of the U.S. Southeast and Mid-Atlantic coasts. For several species, the predicted changes are already underway, which are likely to have substantial impacts on the efficacy of static regulatory frameworks used to manage highly migratory species. The ongoing and projected effects of climate change highlight the urgent need to adaptively and proactively manage dynamic marine ecosystems. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Braun, Camrin Lezama-Ochoa, Nerea Farchadi, Nima Arostegui, Martin Alexander, Michael Allyn, Andrew Bograd, Steven Brodie, Stephanie Crear, Daniel Curtis, Tobey Hazen, Elliott Kerney, Alex Mills, Katherine Pugh, Dylan Scott, James Welch, Heather Young-Morse, Riley Lewison, Rebecca |
author_facet |
Braun, Camrin Lezama-Ochoa, Nerea Farchadi, Nima Arostegui, Martin Alexander, Michael Allyn, Andrew Bograd, Steven Brodie, Stephanie Crear, Daniel Curtis, Tobey Hazen, Elliott Kerney, Alex Mills, Katherine Pugh, Dylan Scott, James Welch, Heather Young-Morse, Riley Lewison, Rebecca |
author_sort |
Braun, Camrin |
title |
Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
title_short |
Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
title_full |
Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
title_fullStr |
Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
title_full_unstemmed |
Widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
title_sort |
widespread habitat loss and redistribution of marine top predators in a changing ocean. |
publisher |
eScholarship, University of California |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6vq8p9jm |
genre |
Northwest Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northwest Atlantic |
op_source |
Science Advances, vol 9, iss 32 |
op_relation |
qt6vq8p9jm https://escholarship.org/uc/item/6vq8p9jm |
op_rights |
public |
_version_ |
1780738569538633728 |