Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth
BackgroundA "Table Fallacy," as coined by Westreich and Greenland, reports multiple adjusted effect estimates from a single model. This practice, which remains common in published literature, can be problematic when different types of effect estimates are presented together in a single tab...
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ftcdlib:oai:escholarship.org:ark:/13030/qt5450f301 2023-11-05T03:42:23+01:00 Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth Bandoli, Gretchen Palmsten, Kristin Chambers, Christina D Jelliffe‐Pawlowski, Laura L Baer, Rebecca J Thompson, Caroline A 390 - 397 2018-07-01 application/pdf https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5450f301 unknown eScholarship, University of California qt5450f301 https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5450f301 public Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology, vol 32, iss 4 Epidemiology Biomedical and Clinical Sciences Health Sciences Pediatric Alcoholism Alcohol Use and Health Hypertension Perinatal Period - Conditions Originating in Perinatal Period Contraception/Reproduction Preterm Low Birth Weight and Health of the Newborn Substance Misuse Infant Mortality Reproductive health and childbirth Good Health and Well Being Adult California Female Humans Infant Newborn Maternal Exposure Pre-Eclampsia Pregnancy Pregnancy Complications Pregnancy Outcome Premature Birth Retrospective Studies Risk Factors Substance-Related Disorders measures of effect perinatal epidemiology preterm birth Table 2 Fallacy Paediatrics and Reproductive Medicine Public Health and Health Services Paediatrics Reproductive medicine article 2018 ftcdlib 2023-10-09T18:06:26Z BackgroundA "Table Fallacy," as coined by Westreich and Greenland, reports multiple adjusted effect estimates from a single model. This practice, which remains common in published literature, can be problematic when different types of effect estimates are presented together in a single table. The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively illustrate this potential for misinterpretation with an example estimating the effects of preeclampsia on preterm birth.MethodsWe analysed a retrospective population-based cohort of 2963888 singleton births in California between 2007 and 2012. We performed a modified Poisson regression to calculate the total effect of preeclampsia on the risk of PTB, adjusting for previous preterm birth. pregnancy alcohol abuse, maternal education, and maternal socio-demographic factors (Model 1). In subsequent models, we report the total effects of previous preterm birth, alcohol abuse, and education on the risk of PTB, comparing and contrasting the controlled direct effects, total effects, and confounded effect estimates, resulting from Model 1.ResultsThe effect estimate for previous preterm birth (a controlled direct effect in Model 1) increased 10% when estimated as a total effect. The risk ratio for alcohol abuse, biased due to an uncontrolled confounder in Model 1, was reduced by 23% when adjusted for drug abuse. The risk ratio for maternal education, solely a predictor of the outcome, was essentially unchanged.ConclusionsReporting multiple effect estimates from a single model may lead to misinterpretation and lack of reproducibility. This example highlights the need for careful consideration of the types of effects estimated in statistical models. Article in Journal/Newspaper Greenland University of California: eScholarship |
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Epidemiology Biomedical and Clinical Sciences Health Sciences Pediatric Alcoholism Alcohol Use and Health Hypertension Perinatal Period - Conditions Originating in Perinatal Period Contraception/Reproduction Preterm Low Birth Weight and Health of the Newborn Substance Misuse Infant Mortality Reproductive health and childbirth Good Health and Well Being Adult California Female Humans Infant Newborn Maternal Exposure Pre-Eclampsia Pregnancy Pregnancy Complications Pregnancy Outcome Premature Birth Retrospective Studies Risk Factors Substance-Related Disorders measures of effect perinatal epidemiology preterm birth Table 2 Fallacy Paediatrics and Reproductive Medicine Public Health and Health Services Paediatrics Reproductive medicine |
spellingShingle |
Epidemiology Biomedical and Clinical Sciences Health Sciences Pediatric Alcoholism Alcohol Use and Health Hypertension Perinatal Period - Conditions Originating in Perinatal Period Contraception/Reproduction Preterm Low Birth Weight and Health of the Newborn Substance Misuse Infant Mortality Reproductive health and childbirth Good Health and Well Being Adult California Female Humans Infant Newborn Maternal Exposure Pre-Eclampsia Pregnancy Pregnancy Complications Pregnancy Outcome Premature Birth Retrospective Studies Risk Factors Substance-Related Disorders measures of effect perinatal epidemiology preterm birth Table 2 Fallacy Paediatrics and Reproductive Medicine Public Health and Health Services Paediatrics Reproductive medicine Bandoli, Gretchen Palmsten, Kristin Chambers, Christina D Jelliffe‐Pawlowski, Laura L Baer, Rebecca J Thompson, Caroline A Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
topic_facet |
Epidemiology Biomedical and Clinical Sciences Health Sciences Pediatric Alcoholism Alcohol Use and Health Hypertension Perinatal Period - Conditions Originating in Perinatal Period Contraception/Reproduction Preterm Low Birth Weight and Health of the Newborn Substance Misuse Infant Mortality Reproductive health and childbirth Good Health and Well Being Adult California Female Humans Infant Newborn Maternal Exposure Pre-Eclampsia Pregnancy Pregnancy Complications Pregnancy Outcome Premature Birth Retrospective Studies Risk Factors Substance-Related Disorders measures of effect perinatal epidemiology preterm birth Table 2 Fallacy Paediatrics and Reproductive Medicine Public Health and Health Services Paediatrics Reproductive medicine |
description |
BackgroundA "Table Fallacy," as coined by Westreich and Greenland, reports multiple adjusted effect estimates from a single model. This practice, which remains common in published literature, can be problematic when different types of effect estimates are presented together in a single table. The purpose of this paper is to quantitatively illustrate this potential for misinterpretation with an example estimating the effects of preeclampsia on preterm birth.MethodsWe analysed a retrospective population-based cohort of 2963888 singleton births in California between 2007 and 2012. We performed a modified Poisson regression to calculate the total effect of preeclampsia on the risk of PTB, adjusting for previous preterm birth. pregnancy alcohol abuse, maternal education, and maternal socio-demographic factors (Model 1). In subsequent models, we report the total effects of previous preterm birth, alcohol abuse, and education on the risk of PTB, comparing and contrasting the controlled direct effects, total effects, and confounded effect estimates, resulting from Model 1.ResultsThe effect estimate for previous preterm birth (a controlled direct effect in Model 1) increased 10% when estimated as a total effect. The risk ratio for alcohol abuse, biased due to an uncontrolled confounder in Model 1, was reduced by 23% when adjusted for drug abuse. The risk ratio for maternal education, solely a predictor of the outcome, was essentially unchanged.ConclusionsReporting multiple effect estimates from a single model may lead to misinterpretation and lack of reproducibility. This example highlights the need for careful consideration of the types of effects estimated in statistical models. |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
Bandoli, Gretchen Palmsten, Kristin Chambers, Christina D Jelliffe‐Pawlowski, Laura L Baer, Rebecca J Thompson, Caroline A |
author_facet |
Bandoli, Gretchen Palmsten, Kristin Chambers, Christina D Jelliffe‐Pawlowski, Laura L Baer, Rebecca J Thompson, Caroline A |
author_sort |
Bandoli, Gretchen |
title |
Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
title_short |
Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
title_full |
Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
title_fullStr |
Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
title_full_unstemmed |
Revisiting the Table 2 fallacy: A motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
title_sort |
revisiting the table 2 fallacy: a motivating example examining preeclampsia and preterm birth |
publisher |
eScholarship, University of California |
publishDate |
2018 |
url |
https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5450f301 |
op_coverage |
390 - 397 |
genre |
Greenland |
genre_facet |
Greenland |
op_source |
Paediatric and Perinatal Epidemiology, vol 32, iss 4 |
op_relation |
qt5450f301 https://escholarship.org/uc/item/5450f301 |
op_rights |
public |
_version_ |
1781699472242245632 |