Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty

• Published in: The Cryosphere
• Main Authors: Seroussi, Hélène, Verjans, Vincent, Nowicki, Sophie, Payne, Antony, J, Goelzer, Heiko, Lipscomb, William, H, Abe-Ouchi, Ayako, Agosta, Cécile, Albrecht, Torsten, Asay-Davis, Xylar, Barthel, Alice, Calov, Reinhard, Cullather, Richard, Dumas, Christophe, Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin, K, Gladstone, Rupert, Golledge, Nicholas, R, Gregory, Jonathan, M, Greve, Ralf, Hattermann, Tore, Hoffman, Matthew, J, Humbert, Angelika, Huybrechts, Philippe, Jourdain, Nicolas, C, Kleiner, Thomas, Larour, Eric, Leguy, Gunter, R, Lowry, Daniel, P, Little, Chistopher, M, Morlighem, Mathieu, Pattyn, Frank, Pelle, Tyler, Price, Stephen, F, Quiquet, Aurélien, Reese, Ronja, Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne, Shepherd, Andrew, Simon, Erika, Smith, Robin, S, Straneo, Fiammetta, Sun, Sainan, Trusel, Luke, D, van Breedam, Jonas, van Katwyk, Peter, van de Wal, Roderik, S W, Winkelmann, Ricarda, Zhao, Chen, Zhang, Tong, Zwinger, Thomas
• Other Authors: Dartmouth College Hanover, IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, University at Buffalo SUNY (SUNY Buffalo), State University of New York (SUNY), Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement Gif-sur-Yvette (LSCE), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Glaces et Continents, Climats et Isotopes Stables (GLACCIOS), Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Université Paris-Saclay-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS), Modélisation du climat (CLIM), Institut des Géosciences de l’Environnement (IGE), Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE)-Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)-Institut polytechnique de Grenoble - Grenoble Institute of Technology (Grenoble INP ), Université Grenoble Alpes (UGA)
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2023
• Subjects: [SDU.OCEAN]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Ocean; Atmosphere; [SDU.ENVI]Sciences of the Universe [physics]/Continental interfaces; environment; Antarctic; East Antarctica; Pine Island Glacier; The Antarctic; West Antarctica; Whillans; Antarc*; Antarctica; Ice Sheet; Ice Shelf; Pine Island; The Cryosphere
• Online Access: https://hal.science/hal-04337827; https://hal.science/hal-04337827/document; https://hal.science/hal-04337827/file/tc-17-5197-2023.pdf; https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023

Abstract. The Antarctic Ice Sheet represents the largest source of uncertainty in future sea level rise projections, with a contribution to sea level by 2100 ranging from −5 to 43 cm of sea level equivalent under high carbon emission scenarios estimated by the recent Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison...