Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic
Species distribution models (SDM) are commonly used to identify potential habitats. When fitting them to heterogeneous, opportunistically collated presence/absence data, imbalance in the number of presence and absence observations often occurs, which could influence results. To robustly identify pot...
Published in: | Ecological Modelling |
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Format: | Article in Journal/Newspaper |
Language: | English |
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Online Access: | https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 |
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ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-04028923v1 2024-02-27T08:43:46+00:00 Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic de Cubber, Lola Trenkel, Verena Diez, Guzman Gil-Herrera, Juan Novoa Pabon, Ana Maria Eme, David Lorance, Pascal Dynamique et durabilité des écosystèmes : de la source à l’océan (DECOD) Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation - MARBEC (UMR MARBEC ) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM) Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA) Instituto Espagňol de Oceanografia (IEO) Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas = Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) Universidade dos Açores RiverLy - Fonctionnement des hydrosystèmes (RiverLy) Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) France Filière Pêche 2023-03 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 en eng HAL CCSD Elsevier info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 hal-04028923 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 WOS: 000918025700001 ISSN: 0304-3800 EISSN: 1872-7026 Ecological Modelling https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 Ecological Modelling, 2023, 477, pp.110255. ⟨10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255⟩ Pagellus bogaraveo;Species distribution models;Ensemble modelling;Heterogeneous data set;Presence-absence imbalance [SDE]Environmental Sciences info:eu-repo/semantics/article Journal articles 2023 ftccsdartic https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 2024-01-28T00:52:12Z Species distribution models (SDM) are commonly used to identify potential habitats. When fitting them to heterogeneous, opportunistically collated presence/absence data, imbalance in the number of presence and absence observations often occurs, which could influence results. To robustly identify potential habitats for blackspot seabream (Pagellus bogaraveo) throughout its distribution area in the Northeast Atlantic and the western Mediterranean Sea, we used an ensemble species distribution modelling (eSDM) approach, modelling gridded presence-absence data with environmental predictors for two types of occurrence data sets. The first data set displayed the observed unbalanced spatially heterogeneous presence/absence ratio and the second a balanced presence/absence ratio. The data covered the full distribution area, including the European Atlantic shelf, the Azorean region and the Western Mediterranean Sea. Across these regions, populations display variable status. The main environmental predictors for potential habitats were bathymetry and annual maximum SST. The fitted ensemble compromise (eSDM) was projected over the whole grid to create a habitat suitability map. This map exhibited higher probabilities of presence for the balanced-ratio data set. A binary presence-absence map was then generated using optimized presence probability thresholds for four validation indices. Using the true skill statistic to optimize the threshold, the surface areas of the binary presence-absence map was 53% smaller for the balanced data set than for the observed unbalanced data set. However, the choice of validation index had an even greater impact (up to 15 000%). This indicates that studies using opportunistic data for SDM fitting need to pay attention to the effects of presence/absence data imbalance and the choice of validation index to fully evaluate uncertainty. Article in Journal/Newspaper Northeast Atlantic Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) Ecological Modelling 477 110255 |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) |
op_collection_id |
ftccsdartic |
language |
English |
topic |
Pagellus bogaraveo;Species distribution models;Ensemble modelling;Heterogeneous data set;Presence-absence imbalance [SDE]Environmental Sciences |
spellingShingle |
Pagellus bogaraveo;Species distribution models;Ensemble modelling;Heterogeneous data set;Presence-absence imbalance [SDE]Environmental Sciences de Cubber, Lola Trenkel, Verena Diez, Guzman Gil-Herrera, Juan Novoa Pabon, Ana Maria Eme, David Lorance, Pascal Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
topic_facet |
Pagellus bogaraveo;Species distribution models;Ensemble modelling;Heterogeneous data set;Presence-absence imbalance [SDE]Environmental Sciences |
description |
Species distribution models (SDM) are commonly used to identify potential habitats. When fitting them to heterogeneous, opportunistically collated presence/absence data, imbalance in the number of presence and absence observations often occurs, which could influence results. To robustly identify potential habitats for blackspot seabream (Pagellus bogaraveo) throughout its distribution area in the Northeast Atlantic and the western Mediterranean Sea, we used an ensemble species distribution modelling (eSDM) approach, modelling gridded presence-absence data with environmental predictors for two types of occurrence data sets. The first data set displayed the observed unbalanced spatially heterogeneous presence/absence ratio and the second a balanced presence/absence ratio. The data covered the full distribution area, including the European Atlantic shelf, the Azorean region and the Western Mediterranean Sea. Across these regions, populations display variable status. The main environmental predictors for potential habitats were bathymetry and annual maximum SST. The fitted ensemble compromise (eSDM) was projected over the whole grid to create a habitat suitability map. This map exhibited higher probabilities of presence for the balanced-ratio data set. A binary presence-absence map was then generated using optimized presence probability thresholds for four validation indices. Using the true skill statistic to optimize the threshold, the surface areas of the binary presence-absence map was 53% smaller for the balanced data set than for the observed unbalanced data set. However, the choice of validation index had an even greater impact (up to 15 000%). This indicates that studies using opportunistic data for SDM fitting need to pay attention to the effects of presence/absence data imbalance and the choice of validation index to fully evaluate uncertainty. |
author2 |
Dynamique et durabilité des écosystèmes : de la source à l’océan (DECOD) Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) MARine Biodiversity Exploitation and Conservation - MARBEC (UMR MARBEC ) Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Institut Français de Recherche pour l'Exploitation de la Mer (IFREMER)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM) Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA) Instituto Espagňol de Oceanografia (IEO) Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Cientificas = Spanish National Research Council (CSIC) Universidade dos Açores RiverLy - Fonctionnement des hydrosystèmes (RiverLy) Institut National de Recherche pour l’Agriculture, l’Alimentation et l’Environnement (INRAE) France Filière Pêche |
format |
Article in Journal/Newspaper |
author |
de Cubber, Lola Trenkel, Verena Diez, Guzman Gil-Herrera, Juan Novoa Pabon, Ana Maria Eme, David Lorance, Pascal |
author_facet |
de Cubber, Lola Trenkel, Verena Diez, Guzman Gil-Herrera, Juan Novoa Pabon, Ana Maria Eme, David Lorance, Pascal |
author_sort |
de Cubber, Lola |
title |
Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
title_short |
Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
title_full |
Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
title_fullStr |
Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
title_full_unstemmed |
Robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the Northeast Atlantic |
title_sort |
robust identification of potential habitats of a rare demersal species (blackspot seabream) in the northeast atlantic |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2023 |
url |
https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 |
genre |
Northeast Atlantic |
genre_facet |
Northeast Atlantic |
op_source |
ISSN: 0304-3800 EISSN: 1872-7026 Ecological Modelling https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 Ecological Modelling, 2023, 477, pp.110255. ⟨10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255⟩ |
op_relation |
info:eu-repo/semantics/altIdentifier/doi/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 hal-04028923 https://hal.inrae.fr/hal-04028923 doi:10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 WOS: 000918025700001 |
op_doi |
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2022.110255 |
container_title |
Ecological Modelling |
container_volume |
477 |
container_start_page |
110255 |
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1792051816557445120 |