The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session
International audience Since 1979, satellite observations have shown a rapid decline of the Arctic sea ice extent (SIE), but its role in the global climate is still under debate. To establish the direct influence of the sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate, we assume that it has the same impact on t...
Main Authors: | , , |
---|---|
Other Authors: | , , , , , , , |
Format: | Conference Object |
Language: | English |
Published: |
HAL CCSD
2019
|
Subjects: | |
Online Access: | https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 |
id |
ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-02391978v1 |
---|---|
record_format |
openpolar |
spelling |
ftccsdartic:oai:HAL:hal-02391978v1 2023-05-15T14:48:11+02:00 The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session Frankignoul, Claude Simon, Amélie Gastineau, Guillaume Océan et variabilité du climat (VARCLIM) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU) EGU Vienna, Austria 2019-04-12 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 en eng HAL CCSD hal-02391978 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 BIBCODE: 2019EGUGA.21.3338F 21st EGU General Assembly https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 21st EGU General Assembly, EGU, Apr 2019, Vienna, Austria [PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] info:eu-repo/semantics/conferenceObject Conference papers 2019 ftccsdartic 2021-12-19T01:37:47Z International audience Since 1979, satellite observations have shown a rapid decline of the Arctic sea ice extent (SIE), but its role in the global climate is still under debate. To establish the direct influence of the sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate, we assume that it has the same impact on the atmospheric circulation as interannual pan-Arctic SIE fluctuations with identical spatial patterns. Lag regressions are used to estimate the atmospheric response to the latter and statistical significance is estimated using the false discovery rate. In the cold season, the temporal fluctuations of the November Arctic sea ice melting pattern are significantly correlated with a negative NAO signal 1 to 3 months later, seemingly propagating downward from the stratosphere in December to the troposphere in January and February. However, multiple regression shows that the November response is primarily due to concomitant eurasian snow cover changes, so that a field significant SIE influence is only found in January and February. A similar impact of SIE fluctuations in December is detected in February and March. Scaling then leads to an observational estimate of atmospheric response to the sea ice loss in the cold season. Conference Object Arctic Sea ice Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) Arctic |
institution |
Open Polar |
collection |
Archive ouverte HAL (Hyper Article en Ligne, CCSD - Centre pour la Communication Scientifique Directe) |
op_collection_id |
ftccsdartic |
language |
English |
topic |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
spellingShingle |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] Frankignoul, Claude Simon, Amélie Gastineau, Guillaume The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
topic_facet |
[PHYS.PHYS.PHYS-GEO-PH]Physics [physics]/Physics [physics]/Geophysics [physics.geo-ph] |
description |
International audience Since 1979, satellite observations have shown a rapid decline of the Arctic sea ice extent (SIE), but its role in the global climate is still under debate. To establish the direct influence of the sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate, we assume that it has the same impact on the atmospheric circulation as interannual pan-Arctic SIE fluctuations with identical spatial patterns. Lag regressions are used to estimate the atmospheric response to the latter and statistical significance is estimated using the false discovery rate. In the cold season, the temporal fluctuations of the November Arctic sea ice melting pattern are significantly correlated with a negative NAO signal 1 to 3 months later, seemingly propagating downward from the stratosphere in December to the troposphere in January and February. However, multiple regression shows that the November response is primarily due to concomitant eurasian snow cover changes, so that a field significant SIE influence is only found in January and February. A similar impact of SIE fluctuations in December is detected in February and March. Scaling then leads to an observational estimate of atmospheric response to the sea ice loss in the cold season. |
author2 |
Océan et variabilité du climat (VARCLIM) Laboratoire d'Océanographie et du Climat : Expérimentations et Approches Numériques (LOCEAN) Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-École normale supérieure - Paris (ENS Paris) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Institut Pierre-Simon-Laplace (IPSL (FR_636)) Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université de Versailles Saint-Quentin-en-Yvelines (UVSQ)-Commissariat à l'énergie atomique et aux énergies alternatives (CEA)-Institut national des sciences de l'Univers (INSU - CNRS)-École polytechnique (X)-Centre National d'Études Spatiales Toulouse (CNES)-Sorbonne Université (SU)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Paris (UP)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD)-Muséum national d'Histoire naturelle (MNHN)-Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Sorbonne Université (SU) EGU |
format |
Conference Object |
author |
Frankignoul, Claude Simon, Amélie Gastineau, Guillaume |
author_facet |
Frankignoul, Claude Simon, Amélie Gastineau, Guillaume |
author_sort |
Frankignoul, Claude |
title |
The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
title_short |
The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
title_full |
The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
title_fullStr |
The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
title_full_unstemmed |
The influence of Arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
title_sort |
influence of arctic sea ice loss on mid-latitude climate in the cold session |
publisher |
HAL CCSD |
publishDate |
2019 |
url |
https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 |
op_coverage |
Vienna, Austria |
geographic |
Arctic |
geographic_facet |
Arctic |
genre |
Arctic Sea ice |
genre_facet |
Arctic Sea ice |
op_source |
21st EGU General Assembly https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 21st EGU General Assembly, EGU, Apr 2019, Vienna, Austria |
op_relation |
hal-02391978 https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02391978 BIBCODE: 2019EGUGA.21.3338F |
_version_ |
1766319284942798848 |