A general framework for modeling memory in capture—Recapture data

• Published in: Journal of Agricultural, Biological, and Environmental Statistics
• Main Authors: Rouan, L., Choquet, R., Pradel, Roger
• Other Authors: Centre d’Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive (CEFE), Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique (CNRS)-Université de Montpellier (UM)-École pratique des hautes études (EPHE), Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Université Paris sciences et lettres (PSL)-Centre international d'études supérieures en sciences agronomiques (Montpellier SupAgro)-Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique (INRA)-Université Paul-Valéry - Montpellier 3 (UPVM)-Institut national d’études supérieures agronomiques de Montpellier (Montpellier SupAgro), Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut national d'enseignement supérieur pour l'agriculture, l'alimentation et l'environnement (Institut Agro)-Institut de Recherche pour le Développement (IRD France-Sud )
• Format: Article in Journal/Newspaper
• Language: English
• Published: HAL CCSD 2009
• Subjects: Transients; Parameter redundancy; Canada geese (Branta canadensis); Hidden Markov model; Hybrid symbolic-numeric method; Memory model; Multievent model; [SDE]Environmental Sciences; [STAT]Statistics [stat]; [STAT.AP]Statistics [stat]/Applications [stat.AP]; Canada; Branta canadensis
• Online Access: https://hal.archives-ouvertes.fr/hal-02126332; https://doi.org/10.1198/jabes.2009.06108

International audience In classical multisite capture-recapture (CR) models, the probability of moving to a new location depends only on the current site occupied. Yet, it is known that some species, such as Canada geese (Branta canadensis), have a strong tendency to return to sites visited earlier during their life. To account for this "phenomenon of memory," several authors have considered CR models in which transition probabilities depend not only on the current location of the individuals but also on the sites previously visited. In this article, we clarify the differences between these previous "memory" models and provide a general framework for the study of memory using CR data. We illustrate this study with the reanalysis of the movements of Canada geese among three wintering sites. This article has supplementary material online.